Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Miami OH   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Miami OH

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:145.1
Current RPI:144
Expected SOS:76
Current Record:14-18
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC RPI:205
Expected OOC SOS:40


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1843.75%145.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Miami OH.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Towson (264.6)CAAA71-82L0%0.0
11-16Kentucky (2.8)SECA70-72L0%0.0
11-20Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACN62-74L0%0.0
11-21Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndN69-58W100%0.0
11-22New Mexico (10.5)MWCA60-85L0%0.0
11-28Evansville (249.4)MVCH82-58W100%0.0
12-2Dayton (51.2)A10H58-65L0%0.0
12-8Temple (15.6)A10H42-64L0%0.0
12-10Cincinnati (61.9)BEA59-63L0%0.0
12-13Wright St. (80.6)HorzH56-55W100%0.0
12-19Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA61-68L0%0.0
12-23Xavier (16.9)A10A67-70L0%0.0
1-5Colorado (119.2)B12A65-67L0%0.0
1-9Buffalo (108.3)MACA55-73L0%0.0
1-12Kent St. (46.7)MACH55-53W100%0.0
1-16Ohio (99.9)MACH79-67W100%0.0
1-20Akron (84.2)MACA49-69L0%0.0
1-23Bowling Green (188.3)MACH64-52W100%0.0
1-26Ball St. (218.5)MACA59-65L0%0.0
1-28Central Michigan (195.1)MACH64-51W100%0.0
1-30Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH61-51W100%0.0
2-4Western Michigan (149.7)MACA56-54W100%0.0
2-6Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA74-69W100%0.0
2-10Toledo (324.5)MACH55-47W100%0.0
2-14Bowling Green (188.3)MACA64-67L0%0.0
2-17Akron (84.2)MACH56-61L0%0.0
2-20Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCH69-53W100%0.0
2-24Ohio (99.9)MACA68-70L0%0.0
2-27Kent St. (46.7)MACA58-66L0%0.0
3-4Buffalo (108.3)MACH73-62W100%0.0
3-11Buffalo (108.3)MACN73-59W100%0.0
3-12Ohio (99.9)MACN42-54L0%0.0