Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Miami FL   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Miami FL

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:95.7
Current RPI:96
Expected SOS:118
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.34%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-0
Current OOC Record:13-0
Expected OOC Record:13-0
Expected OOC RPI:83
Expected OOC SOS:343


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-1264.71%72.71.34%
21-1361.76%80.12.72%
20-1360.61%87.238.63%
19-1359.38%102.657.31%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Miami FL.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14North Carolina Central (347.0)indH83-53W100%0.0
11-19Tulane (281.1)CUSAN74-54W100%0.0
11-20NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAN67-60W100%0.0
11-22South Carolina (93.2)SECN85-70W100%0.0
11-25Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH77-58W100%0.0
11-28South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH70-41W100%0.0
12-2Minnesota (64.6)B10H63-58W100%0.0
12-6Boston College (124.9)ACCA60-61L0%0.0
12-12South Carolina St. (220.8)MEACH91-54W100%0.0
12-16Stetson (326.9)ASunA69-49W100%0.0
12-19Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBN87-69W100%0.0
12-21North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACH80-59W100%0.0
12-30Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACH73-55W100%0.0
1-3Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA86-63W100%0.0
1-9Wake Forest (40.6)ACCH67-66W100%0.0
1-13Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCA66-81L0%0.0
1-16Virginia (126.0)ACCA57-75L0%0.0
1-19Boston College (124.9)ACCH75-79L0%0.0
1-26Maryland (22.1)ACCA59-81L0%0.0
1-31Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCH82-75W100%0.0
2-2Wake Forest (40.6)ACCA53-62L0%0.0
2-6Florida St. (41.5)ACCA65-71L0%0.0
2-10Georgia Tech (36.8)ACCH64-62W100%0.0
2-13Clemson (34.3)ACCA66-74L0%0.0
2-17Duke (2.8)ACCH74-81L0%0.0
2-23Virginia (126.0)ACCH74-62W100%0.0
2-27North Carolina St. (92.6)ACCH66-71L0%0.0
3-2North Carolina (94.1)ACCA62-69L0%0.0
3-6Florida St. (41.5)ACCH60-61L0%0.0
3-11Wake Forest (40.6)ACCN83-62W100%0.0
3-12Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCN70-65W100%0.0