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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

McNeese St.

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:207.5
Current RPI:207
Expected SOS:229
Current Record:8-10
Expected Record:12-15
Current Conf Record:7-2
Expected Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.67%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-4
Current OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC RPI:245
Expected OOC SOS:77


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1162.07%103.00.03%
17-1160.71%131.50.02%
16-1159.26%154.00.01%
17-1258.62%115.30.26%
16-1257.14%143.50.36%
15-1255.56%164.60.38%
16-1355.17%133.30.92%
15-1353.57%158.62.05%
14-1351.85%181.33.15%
15-1451.72%148.71.73%
14-1450.00%173.25.77%
14-1548.28%166.82.03%
13-1448.15%197.312.81%
13-1546.43%189.28.54%
13-1644.83%184.31.61%
12-1544.44%213.520.56%
12-1642.86%206.96.69%
12-1741.38%202.10.80%
11-1640.74%229.618.10%
11-1739.29%223.52.73%
11-1837.93%220.50.16%
10-1737.04%246.08.62%
10-1835.71%241.90.51%
9-1833.33%262.71.99%
9-1932.14%257.10.07%
8-1929.63%277.90.09%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for McNeese St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Auburn (159.9)SECA84-62L0%0.0
11-18Georgia St. (110.1)CAAA69-50L0%0.0
11-26Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyA63-68W100%0.0
11-28California (40.2)P12A73-57L0%0.0
12-1Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBA78-56L0%0.0
12-14Louisiana Tech (205.7)WACA60-58L0%0.0
12-19Texas El Paso (180.1)CUSAA69-54L0%0.0
12-21New Mexico St. (67.9)WACA82-62L0%0.0
12-31Southern Mississippi (18.2)CUSAH56-65L0%0.0
1-7Texas A&M Corpus Chris (316.1)SlndA69-71W100%0.0
1-11Lamar (91.1)SlndH57-54W100%0.0
1-14Texas St. (317.6)SlndA82-73L0%0.0
1-18Southeastern Louisiana (326.4)SlndH61-47W100%0.0
1-21Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndH61-64L0%0.0
1-25Nicholls St. (315.0)SlndA56-60W100%0.0
1-29Central Arkansas (299.9)SlndH87-76W100%0.0
2-1Sam Houston St. (285.0)SlndA61-67W100%0.0
2-5Stephen F. Austin (246.7)SlndH66-56W100%0.0
2-11Central Arkansas (299.9)SlndA0-061%3.1
2-13Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndA0-031%-5.3
2-15Texas San Antonio (159.9)SlndH0-034%-4.4
2-18Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCH0-060%2.8
2-22Texas Arlington (85.3)SlndH0-023%-8.0
2-25Nicholls St. (315.0)SlndH0-090%14.2
2-29Southeastern Louisiana (326.4)SlndA0-064%4.0
3-3Lamar (91.1)SlndA0-011%-13.6