Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  MD Baltimore County   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

MD Baltimore County

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:332.6
Current RPI:332
Expected SOS:288
Current Record:4-26
Expected Record:4-26
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-13
Current OOC Record:1-12
Expected OOC Record:1-12
Expected OOC RPI:344
Expected OOC SOS:337


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
4-2613.33%332.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for MD Baltimore County.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Morgan St. (105.6)MEACH57-72L0%0.0
11-18Loyola MD (217.0)MAACH66-69L0%0.0
11-21George Washington (145.6)A10A51-94L0%0.0
11-24Coppin St. (335.7)MEACH66-77L0%0.0
11-28James Madison (243.3)CAAA51-53L0%0.0
12-2Towson (265.2)CAAA77-82L0%0.0
12-5Toledo (324.0)MACA67-76L0%0.0
12-8Penn St. (193.1)B10A42-58L0%0.0
12-12Rider (140.4)MAACH67-79L0%0.0
12-20American (294.6)PatA59-57W100%0.0
12-22Virginia Tech (49.9)ACCA34-71L0%0.0
12-30Central Connecticut (308.9)NECA86-89L0%0.0
1-2Vermont (123.9)AEA58-73L0%0.0
1-6Pennsylvania (300.5)IvyH71-82L0%0.0
1-12Boston University (132.0)AEA63-75L0%0.0
1-14Hartford (303.0)AEH68-74L0%0.0
1-16Albany (301.9)AEA69-76L0%0.0
1-18Stony Brook (140.9)AEA69-81L0%0.0
1-21New Hampshire (242.6)AEH58-62L0%0.0
1-24Boston University (132.0)AEH61-79L0%0.0
1-27Binghamton (228.5)AEH63-80L0%0.0
1-30Maine (149.1)AEA56-55W100%0.0
2-5Vermont (123.9)AEH60-79L0%0.0
2-8Maine (149.1)AEH63-84L0%0.0
2-11Hartford (303.0)AEA78-70W100%0.0
2-13Albany (301.9)AEH62-75L0%0.0
2-16Stony Brook (140.9)AEH72-86L0%0.0
2-21Binghamton (228.5)AEA61-81L0%0.0
2-24New Hampshire (242.6)AEA79-50W100%0.0
3-6Vermont (123.9)AEN59-76L0%0.0