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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

MD Baltimore County

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:335.4
Current RPI:339
Expected SOS:317
Current Record:3-20
Expected Record:5-26
Current Conf Record:2-9
Expected Conf Record:4-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.04%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-12
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-12
Expected OOC RPI:332
Expected OOC SOS:282


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2328.12%303.00.01%
8-2226.67%305.00.05%
8-2325.81%313.70.11%
8-2425.00%311.10.14%
8-2524.24%311.10.08%
7-2323.33%318.40.55%
7-2422.58%321.32.70%
7-2521.88%321.50.52%
7-2621.21%320.60.16%
6-2420.00%328.54.11%
6-2519.35%329.913.43%
6-2618.75%330.01.04%
6-2718.18%327.40.08%
5-2516.67%335.612.44%
5-2616.13%335.324.03%
5-2715.62%334.70.44%
4-2613.33%339.618.26%
4-2712.90%338.912.84%
3-2710.00%341.79.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for MD Baltimore County.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Pennsylvania (121.8)IvyH45-59L0%0.0
11-13St. John's (162.6)BEA82-59L0%0.0
11-17Loyola MD (78.4)MAACH63-73L0%0.0
11-19Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthA84-79L0%0.0
11-22Central Connecticut (227.1)NECA77-69L0%0.0
11-28Rutgers (147.8)BEA94-56L0%0.0
12-1American (153.6)PatA69-58L0%0.0
12-10Towson (305.6)CAAA58-62W100%0.0
12-14Morgan St. (267.3)MEACH60-73L0%0.0
12-17Rider (209.8)MAACH66-73L0%0.0
12-22Indiana (22.0)B10A89-47L0%0.0
12-28Niagara (212.9)MAACA92-75L0%0.0
1-2New Hampshire (314.7)AEA76-82W100%0.0
1-5Albany (206.4)AEH72-89L0%0.0
1-7Maine (262.1)AEA89-70L0%0.0
1-11Stony Brook (132.5)AEH49-89L0%0.0
1-17Hartford (323.5)AEA74-57L0%0.0
1-19Binghamton (343.4)AEH64-58W100%0.0
1-22Vermont (155.6)AEH62-90L0%0.0
1-24Boston University (159.1)AEA83-48L0%0.0
2-1Albany (206.4)AEA87-76L0%0.0
2-4Maine (262.1)AEH76-77L0%0.0
2-7Hartford (323.5)AEH70-76L0%0.0
2-9Stony Brook (132.5)AEA0-02%-22.5
2-12New Hampshire (314.7)AEH0-034%-4.6
2-15Binghamton (343.4)AEA0-046%-1.0
2-18Canisius (323.1)MAACA0-023%-7.9
2-22Boston University (159.1)AEH0-012%-12.8
2-25Vermont (155.6)AEA0-02%-21.4