- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Loyola Marymount

Expected RPI:223.0
Current RPI:223
Expected SOS:225
Current Record:13-17
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-5
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:185
Expected OOC SOS:331


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Marymount.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH79-74W100%0.0
11-15UC Irvine (75.0)BWA77-53L0%0.0
11-19Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA83-75L0%0.0
11-25Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH82-80W100%0.0
11-28Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA60-73W100%0.0
12-2Oregon St. (33.0)P12A79-70L0%0.0
12-6UC Riverside (267.0)BWH77-76W100%0.0
12-9Boise St. (101.0)MWCA67-66L0%0.0
12-12Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA70-82W100%0.0
12-18Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH77-60W100%0.0
12-21Portland (249.0)WCCA87-60L0%0.0
12-23Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA85-62L0%0.0
1-2Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA68-65L0%0.0
1-7Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH48-73L0%0.0
1-9Pacific (268.0)WCCH58-60L0%0.0
1-14San Francisco (228.0)WCCA83-87W100%0.0
1-16Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA66-76W100%0.0
1-21BYU (76.0)WCCH80-91L0%0.0
1-23San Diego (302.0)WCCH67-63W100%0.0
1-28BYU (76.0)WCCA87-62L0%0.0
1-30San Diego (302.0)WCCA77-69L0%0.0
2-4Gonzaga (46.0)WCCH63-92L0%0.0
2-6Portland (249.0)WCCH78-92L0%0.0
2-11Pacific (268.0)WCCA72-77W100%0.0
2-13Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA68-62L0%0.0
2-18Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH72-76L0%0.0
2-20San Francisco (228.0)WCCH100-87W100%0.0
2-27Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH90-83W100%0.0
3-4San Diego (302.0)WCCN64-61W100%0.0
3-5Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCN60-48L0%0.0