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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Loyola Marymount

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:110.2
Current RPI:112
Expected SOS:94
Current Record:13-9
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:8-3
Expected Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.61%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-2
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:157
Expected OOC SOS:87


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-970.00%52.00.01%
21-1067.74%50.40.05%
20-1066.67%72.70.13%
19-1065.52%85.60.24%
20-1164.52%65.00.73%
19-1163.33%86.52.75%
18-1162.07%101.52.12%
19-1261.29%77.03.25%
18-1260.00%95.917.28%
19-1359.38%65.00.01%
17-1258.62%113.511.31%
18-1358.06%88.63.52%
17-1356.67%107.121.54%
18-1456.25%94.00.01%
16-1355.17%125.814.04%
17-1454.84%100.91.71%
16-1453.33%118.610.20%
17-1553.12%112.00.01%
15-1451.72%138.17.20%
16-1551.61%115.80.39%
15-1550.00%130.61.95%
15-1648.39%133.60.07%
14-1548.28%151.61.29%
14-1646.67%144.70.13%
13-1644.83%167.00.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Marymount.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11UCLA (106.8)P12A58-69W100%0.0
11-13Middle Tennessee (40.8)SBH51-58L0%0.0
11-19Harvard (45.6)IvyH67-77L0%0.0
11-23Idaho St. (266.1)BSkyA76-79W100%0.0
11-26Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyH81-61W100%0.0
11-29St. Louis (28.8)A10H75-68W100%0.0
12-2Columbia (157.4)IvyH61-69L0%0.0
12-4North Texas (198.8)SBH63-76L0%0.0
12-10Idaho St. (266.1)BSkyH80-72W100%0.0
12-18Florida St. (25.0)ACCA77-61L0%0.0
12-21Morgan St. (267.3)MEACA69-45L0%0.0
12-31San Francisco (154.1)WCCA76-77W100%0.0
1-5Brigham Young (41.8)WCCH65-73L0%0.0
1-7San Diego (217.4)WCCA68-79W100%0.0
1-12Pepperdine (252.4)WCCA58-68W100%0.0
1-14Gonzaga (29.8)WCCH58-62L0%0.0
1-19Brigham Young (41.8)WCCA68-82W100%0.0
1-23Santa Clara (275.1)WCCA62-74W100%0.0
1-26St. Mary's (16.6)WCCH64-71L0%0.0
1-28Portland (222.9)WCCH62-59W100%0.0
2-2Pepperdine (252.4)WCCH67-57W100%0.0
2-4San Francisco (154.1)WCCH90-88W100%0.0
2-9Portland (222.9)WCCA0-067%4.8
2-11Gonzaga (29.8)WCCA0-011%-13.3
2-15St. Mary's (16.6)WCCA0-09%-14.5
2-17Valparaiso (105.3)HorzH0-061%3.0
2-23San Diego (217.4)WCCH0-082%10.1
2-25Santa Clara (275.1)WCCH0-085%11.2