Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Loyola Chicago   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Loyola Chicago

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:213.2
Current RPI:213
Expected SOS:197
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:7-2
Expected OOC Record:7-2
Expected OOC RPI:81
Expected OOC SOS:270


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1642.86%213.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Kansas St. (5.5)B12A54-92L0%0.0
11-17Canisius (205.0)MAACH89-69W100%0.0
11-20Holy Cross (272.4)PatA76-73W100%0.0
11-23Western Michigan (149.7)MACH60-58W100%0.0
12-3Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA69-90L0%0.0
12-5Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA69-64W100%0.0
12-12San Francisco (206.8)WCCH66-63W100%0.0
12-16Bradley (104.6)MVCA68-65W100%0.0
12-20SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCA79-61W100%0.0
12-22Albany (301.3)AEH68-56W100%0.0
12-31Wright St. (80.6)HorzH53-52W100%0.0
1-2Detroit (167.4)HorzH42-59L0%0.0
1-7Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA57-62L0%0.0
1-9Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzA67-71L0%0.0
1-15Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzA55-50W100%0.0
1-21Butler (11.9)HorzH47-48L0%0.0
1-23Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH67-86L0%0.0
1-28Detroit (167.4)HorzA63-83L0%0.0
1-30Wright St. (80.6)HorzA48-66L0%0.0
2-4Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzH92-85W100%0.0
2-6Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzH56-59L0%0.0
2-8Butler (11.9)HorzA47-62L0%0.0
2-13Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH80-63W100%0.0
2-17Valparaiso (185.4)HorzA73-84L0%0.0
2-20Creighton (114.4)MVCA58-78L0%0.0
2-25Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH61-63L0%0.0
2-27Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH71-87L0%0.0
3-2Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA66-80L0%0.0