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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Loyola Chicago

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:312.6
Current RPI:310
Expected SOS:256
Current Record:4-18
Expected Record:6-23
Current Conf Record:0-13
Expected Conf Record:1-18
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-7
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:271
Expected OOC SOS:334


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1934.48%266.60.05%
10-2132.26%263.40.05%
10-2231.25%251.00.04%
9-2031.03%280.40.20%
9-2130.00%278.80.27%
9-2229.03%278.10.24%
9-2328.12%267.80.08%
8-2127.59%292.62.48%
8-2226.67%290.41.04%
8-2325.81%288.10.58%
8-2425.00%281.00.09%
7-2224.14%302.212.45%
7-2323.33%299.72.53%
7-2422.58%296.80.71%
7-2521.88%292.00.02%
6-2320.69%310.829.88%
6-2420.00%307.52.88%
6-2519.35%305.00.21%
5-2417.24%318.732.88%
5-2516.67%315.30.99%
4-2513.79%325.712.32%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Illinois (56.7)B10A67-49L0%0.0
11-14Kansas St. (49.5)B12A74-61L0%0.0
11-16Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCA65-61L0%0.0
11-20Furman (232.7)SCA63-51L0%0.0
11-26Fordham (248.5)A10H64-50W100%0.0
12-1Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzA59-41L0%0.0
12-3Wisconsin Green Bay (187.9)HorzA57-47L0%0.0
12-7DePaul (195.3)BEH58-69L0%0.0
12-10Toledo (273.3)MACA55-57W100%0.0
12-17Chicago St. (335.1)GWCH64-49W100%0.0
12-22Canisius (323.1)MAACA45-59W100%0.0
12-29Wright St. (220.5)HorzH48-64L0%0.0
12-31Detroit (180.8)HorzH54-65L0%0.0
1-5Youngstown St. (158.8)HorzA68-64L0%0.0
1-7Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzA69-48L0%0.0
1-14Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzA58-51L0%0.0
1-19Valparaiso (105.3)HorzH48-69L0%0.0
1-21Butler (146.3)HorzH57-63L0%0.0
1-25Detroit (180.8)HorzA67-52L0%0.0
1-27Wright St. (220.5)HorzA47-41L0%0.0
2-3Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzH47-65L0%0.0
2-5Youngstown St. (158.8)HorzH63-80L0%0.0
2-11Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzH0-055%1.4
2-14Butler (146.3)HorzA0-011%-13.3
2-18Bradley (253.2)MVCA0-027%-6.6
2-21Valparaiso (105.3)HorzA0-010%-14.2
2-23Wisconsin Green Bay (187.9)HorzH0-034%-4.4
2-25Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzH0-020%-9.3