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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Louisiana Monroe

Expected RPI:95.0
Current RPI:95
Expected SOS:135
Current Record:18-13
Expected Record:18-13
Current Conf Record:16-6
Expected Conf Record:16-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:217
Expected OOC SOS:94


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Monroe.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Minnesota (257.0)B10A67-56L0%0.0
11-19Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndA64-80W100%0.0
11-28Houston (87.0)AmerA76-64L0%0.0
11-30Chattanooga (50.0)SCH64-54W100%0.0
12-3Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH81-70W100%0.0
12-10Kent St. (124.0)MACA73-62L0%0.0
12-12Penn St. (125.0)B10A54-50L0%0.0
12-13West Virginia (10.0)B12A100-58L0%0.0
12-22Canisius (220.0)MAACN108-96L0%0.0
12-23Hampton (155.0)MEACN64-75L0%0.0
12-31Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH72-56W100%0.0
1-7Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA68-65L0%0.0
1-9Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA58-57L0%0.0
1-14Georgia St. (180.0)SBA65-51L0%0.0
1-16Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA66-51L0%0.0
1-21Troy (293.0)SBH85-74W100%0.0
1-23South Alabama (240.0)SBH100-68W100%0.0
1-28UT Arlington (105.0)SBH99-88W100%0.0
1-30Texas St. (238.0)SBH72-59W100%0.0
2-2Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA72-65L0%0.0
2-6Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA90-91W100%0.0
2-11Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH86-82W100%0.0
2-13Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH78-73W100%0.0
2-18Texas St. (238.0)SBA57-76W100%0.0
2-20UT Arlington (105.0)SBA61-64W100%0.0
2-25South Alabama (240.0)SBA59-66W100%0.0
2-27Troy (293.0)SBA51-66W100%0.0
3-3Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH83-76W100%0.0
3-5Georgia St. (180.0)SBH91-78W100%0.0
3-12UT Arlington (105.0)SBN82-71W100%0.0
3-13Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBN70-50L0%0.0