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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Louisiana Monroe

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:324.7
Current RPI:330
Expected SOS:210
Current Record:2-21
Expected Record:3-26
Current Conf Record:1-10
Expected Conf Record:2-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.01%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-9
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:327
Expected OOC SOS:238


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2524.24%278.00.01%
8-2623.53%275.50.02%
7-2521.88%285.30.03%
6-2221.43%291.00.01%
7-2621.21%288.30.03%
7-2720.59%285.00.02%
6-2519.35%298.80.14%
6-2618.75%299.20.17%
6-2718.18%295.70.03%
5-2317.86%303.30.23%
5-2516.67%309.00.20%
5-2616.13%308.20.72%
5-2715.62%308.90.20%
4-2414.29%313.35.17%
4-2613.33%317.30.78%
4-2712.90%317.40.68%
3-2510.71%321.834.94%
3-2710.00%324.80.66%
2-267.14%328.355.96%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Monroe.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Mississippi (79.8)SECA60-38L0%0.0
11-14Indiana St. (137.7)MVCH59-71L0%0.0
11-16Tennessee (140.6)SECA85-62L0%0.0
11-19Southeastern Louisiana (326.4)SlndA63-60L0%0.0
11-21Mississippi St. (48.3)SECA78-63L0%0.0
11-28Nicholls St. (315.0)SlndA65-86W100%0.0
12-3Louisiana Tech (205.7)WACH71-73L0%0.0
12-10Texas A&M (166.8)B12A67-54L0%0.0
12-12Nicholls St. (315.0)SlndH70-82L0%0.0
12-15Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndH63-76L0%0.0
12-19Nevada Las Vegas (14.8)MWCA81-63L0%0.0
12-21Indiana St. (137.7)MVCA50-35L0%0.0
12-29Western Kentucky (240.9)SBH71-76L0%0.0
12-31Arkansas St. (229.8)SBH63-65L0%0.0
1-5Florida Atlantic (177.8)SBA58-30L0%0.0
1-7Florida International (213.6)SBA50-54W100%0.0
1-12Arkansas Little Rock (187.9)SBH51-72L0%0.0
1-14North Texas (198.8)SBH55-68L0%0.0
1-19Denver (82.1)SBH48-63L0%0.0
1-21Troy (271.6)SBA91-63L0%0.0
1-28Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBH60-67L0%0.0
2-2Arkansas St. (229.8)SBA72-64L0%0.0
2-4Arkansas Little Rock (187.9)SBA70-66L0%0.0
2-11South Alabama (196.9)SBH0-029%-6.2
2-16North Texas (198.8)SBA0-08%-15.1
2-18Denver (82.1)SBA0-02%-21.9
2-23Middle Tennessee (40.8)SBH0-04%-18.9
2-25Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBA0-08%-15.0