Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Louisiana Lafayette   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Louisiana Lafayette

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:245.4
Current RPI:246
Expected SOS:272
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:302
Expected OOC SOS:303


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1642.86%245.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Lafayette.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAH72-79L0%0.0
11-28McNeese St. (314.8)SlndA58-60L0%0.0
12-1Louisiana St. (224.0)SECA58-66L0%0.0
12-5Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndA95-85W100%0.0
12-12Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH81-74W100%0.0
12-15Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAA53-71L0%0.0
12-19Lamar (292.7)SlndA68-60W100%0.0
12-21Tulane (281.1)CUSAH70-73L0%0.0
12-23Louisville (38.3)BEA69-84L0%0.0
12-28Centenary (314.0)SumH68-73L0%0.0
12-31Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA65-77L0%0.0
1-2Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA58-68L0%0.0
1-7North Texas (103.0)SBH74-72W100%0.0
1-14Denver (164.4)SBH55-49W100%0.0
1-16Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBA69-76L0%0.0
1-21New Orleans (323.2)SBH70-53W100%0.0
1-23Troy (109.6)SBH69-54W100%0.0
1-28Arkansas St. (200.9)SBA60-62L0%0.0
1-30Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA72-67W100%0.0
2-4Florida International (296.0)SBH83-63W100%0.0
2-6Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBH77-51W100%0.0
2-11Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA72-76L0%0.0
2-13South Alabama (209.4)SBA65-67L0%0.0
2-18Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH56-54W100%0.0
2-20Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBH73-71W100%0.0
2-25North Texas (103.0)SBA57-65L0%0.0
2-27Denver (164.4)SBA47-63L0%0.0
3-6Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBN75-76L0%0.0