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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Louisiana Lafayette

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:185.0
Current RPI:185
Expected SOS:199
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:224
Expected OOC SOS:162


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1550.00%185.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Lafayette.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Northern Arizona (337.0)BSkyN83-66W100%0.0
11-12North Dakota St. (184.0)SumN78-58L0%0.0
11-13San Francisco (136.0)WCCA71-70L0%0.0
11-18Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCH73-64W100%0.0
11-19Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWH63-69L0%0.0
11-20Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndH84-57W100%0.0
11-26Duquesne (109.0)A10A84-65L0%0.0
11-28Kent St. (106.0)MACA76-67L0%0.0
12-1McNeese St. (174.0)SlndH78-56W100%0.0
12-3Lamar (108.0)SlndA80-63L0%0.0
12-14Mississippi (61.0)SECA66-54L0%0.0
12-17Robert Morris (99.0)NECA72-64L0%0.0
12-21Central Florida (54.0)CUSAH61-60W100%0.0
12-31Florida Atlantic (207.0)SBH67-55W100%0.0
1-5Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA70-72W100%0.0
1-7Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBA65-53L0%0.0
1-12South Alabama (169.0)SBH65-70L0%0.0
1-14Florida International (251.0)SBH87-81W100%0.0
1-19Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA49-68W100%0.0
1-21Arkansas St. (222.0)SBA79-74L0%0.0
1-25North Texas (200.0)SBH64-62W100%0.0
1-28Louisiana Monroe (317.0)SBA60-67W100%0.0
2-2Denver (94.0)SBH72-71W100%0.0
2-4Troy (260.0)SBA78-83W100%0.0
2-9Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBH70-72L0%0.0
2-11Arkansas St. (222.0)SBH68-65W100%0.0
2-16Denver (94.0)SBA77-52L0%0.0
2-18North Texas (200.0)SBA53-57W100%0.0
2-25Louisiana Monroe (317.0)SBH60-78L0%0.0
3-4North Texas (200.0)SBN62-65L0%0.0