Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Long Island   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Long Island

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:240.0
Current RPI:240
Expected SOS:294
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-9
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:283
Expected OOC SOS:287


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%240.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Long Island.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13St. John's (82.9)BEA70-83L0%0.0
11-17Army (247.3)PatA56-63L0%0.0
11-21Navy (264.0)PatH83-72W100%0.0
11-24St. Peter's (181.2)MAACH77-71W100%0.0
11-28Seton Hall (59.6)BEA66-95L0%0.0
12-3Bryant (345.2)indH62-46W100%0.0
12-5Central Connecticut (309.1)NECH69-65W100%0.0
12-9Iona (88.6)MAACA64-80L0%0.0
12-12Lafayette (209.5)PatA63-77L0%0.0
12-19Manhattan (226.2)MAACH61-71L0%0.0
12-29Chattanooga (238.0)SCA59-76L0%0.0
12-30Morgan St. (102.4)MEACN70-87L0%0.0
1-4Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACA69-78L0%0.0
1-7Robert Morris (128.6)NECH74-64W100%0.0
1-9St. Francis PA (286.7)NECH89-80W100%0.0
1-14Wagner (332.0)NECA79-64W100%0.0
1-16Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA67-86L0%0.0
1-21Wagner (332.0)NECH59-65L0%0.0
1-23Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH67-58W100%0.0
1-28Robert Morris (128.6)NECA58-66L0%0.0
1-30St. Francis PA (286.7)NECA73-74L0%0.0
2-4St. Francis NY (294.9)NECA62-53W100%0.0
2-6St. Francis NY (294.9)NECH84-88L0%0.0
2-11Sacred Heart (262.1)NECA81-75W100%0.0
2-13Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA72-80L0%0.0
2-18Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH68-62W100%0.0
2-20Monmouth (288.9)NECH83-74W100%0.0
2-25Central Connecticut (309.1)NECA65-74L0%0.0
2-27Bryant (345.2)indA71-54W100%0.0
3-4Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH63-61W100%0.0
3-7Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA78-83L0%0.0