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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Kennesaw St.

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:320.2
Current RPI:314
Expected SOS:193
Current Record:2-22
Expected Record:3-27
Current Conf Record:0-13
Expected Conf Record:1-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-9
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:254
Expected OOC SOS:154


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2420.00%298.30.68%
5-2516.67%307.06.98%
4-2613.33%315.128.55%
3-2710.00%322.445.22%
2-286.67%328.518.56%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kennesaw St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Wisconsin (23.0)B10A85-31L0%0.0
11-14Auburn (159.9)SECA68-55L0%0.0
11-18Chattanooga (276.1)SCA59-65W100%0.0
11-26South Carolina St. (335.7)MEACH98-104L0%0.0
12-1Belmont (53.1)ASunA98-52L0%0.0
12-3Lipscomb (209.3)ASunA75-52L0%0.0
12-15Missouri (12.8)B12A104-67L0%0.0
12-17Missouri St. (82.9)MVCA78-55L0%0.0
12-19St. Mary's (16.6)WCCA74-51L0%0.0
12-22Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCN68-81L0%0.0
12-23Texas A&M Corpus Chris (316.1)SlndN65-69W100%0.0
12-30Ohio (61.7)MACA71-63L0%0.0
1-2Stetson (263.0)ASunH62-66L0%0.0
1-4Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunH55-62L0%0.0
1-7South Carolina Upstate (156.4)ASunA68-53L0%0.0
1-9East Tennessee St. (192.3)ASunA73-69L0%0.0
1-13Mercer (103.9)ASunA81-51L0%0.0
1-18Charlotte (143.4)A10A74-63L0%0.0
1-21Jacksonville (282.9)ASunH50-66L0%0.0
1-23North Florida (177.6)ASunH68-76L0%0.0
1-28Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunA92-74L0%0.0
1-30Stetson (263.0)ASunA75-59L0%0.0
2-4East Tennessee St. (192.3)ASunH59-64L0%0.0
2-6South Carolina Upstate (156.4)ASunH58-70L0%0.0
2-10Mercer (103.9)ASunH0-07%-15.8
2-14Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCH0-064%3.9
2-18North Florida (177.6)ASunA0-09%-14.4
2-20Jacksonville (282.9)ASunA0-018%-9.9
2-23Belmont (53.1)ASunH0-02%-21.6
2-25Lipscomb (209.3)ASunH0-026%-7.0