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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

James Madison

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:261.0
Current RPI:261
Expected SOS:242
Current Record:12-20
Expected Record:12-20
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-4
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:216
Expected OOC SOS:284


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-2037.50%261.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for James Madison.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Canisius (333.0)MAACH82-73W100%0.0
11-19La Salle (90.0)A10A92-83L0%0.0
11-22Robert Morris (99.0)NECH77-82L0%0.0
11-25Rider (199.0)MAACN69-86W100%0.0
11-26Pennsylvania (98.0)IvyA58-60W100%0.0
12-3Hofstra (263.0)CAAA60-62W100%0.0
12-6Kent St. (106.0)MACH51-71L0%0.0
12-19The Citadel (325.0)SCH67-49W100%0.0
12-22George Washington (188.0)A10A57-62W100%0.0
12-29Rhode Island (257.0)A10N79-60L0%0.0
12-30Stetson (267.0)ASunN69-71W100%0.0
1-2Old Dominion (103.0)CAAH61-67L0%0.0
1-4William & Mary (299.0)CAAA68-61L0%0.0
1-7Northeastern (172.0)CAAH56-68L0%0.0
1-9Hampton (306.0)MEACH74-67W100%0.0
1-12Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAA65-45L0%0.0
1-14George Mason (82.0)CAAH83-89L0%0.0
1-18NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAA61-69W100%0.0
1-21Hofstra (263.0)CAAH69-71L0%0.0
1-23Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA74-58L0%0.0
1-26William & Mary (299.0)CAAH59-47W100%0.0
1-28George Mason (82.0)CAAA89-79L0%0.0
1-30East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunA70-56L0%0.0
2-2Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA80-71L0%0.0
2-4Delaware (153.0)CAAH80-85L0%0.0
2-8Drexel (64.0)CAAH56-63L0%0.0
2-11Towson (311.0)CAAA56-58W100%0.0
2-14Georgia St. (141.0)CAAH64-67L0%0.0
2-18Detroit (126.0)HorzA82-70L0%0.0
2-22Drexel (64.0)CAAA78-61L0%0.0
2-25Towson (311.0)CAAH65-59W100%0.0
3-2NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAN59-70L0%0.0