Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  James Madison   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

James Madison

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:241.9
Current RPI:241
Expected SOS:209
Current Record:13-20
Expected Record:13-20
Current Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:194
Expected OOC SOS:327


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-2039.39%241.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for James Madison.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Ohio St. (25.9)B10A44-72L0%0.0
11-20Murray St. (54.4)OVCN43-71L0%0.0
11-22Florida International (296.0)SBA81-68W100%0.0
11-23North Carolina Central (347.0)indN79-66W100%0.0
11-28MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEH53-51W100%0.0
12-2Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACH72-64W100%0.0
12-5Georgia St. (248.0)CAAH44-49L0%0.0
12-12Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA64-75L0%0.0
12-17Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA78-57W100%0.0
12-23Fordham (306.4)A10H85-73W100%0.0
12-29Stanford (165.1)P10A76-80L0%0.0
1-2Northeastern (74.0)CAAA61-73L0%0.0
1-4Delaware (238.8)CAAH71-65W100%0.0
1-6Old Dominion (26.9)CAAA72-74L0%0.0
1-9Towson (264.6)CAAH69-66W100%0.0
1-14William & Mary (57.0)CAAA78-85L0%0.0
1-16George Mason (158.1)CAAH71-82L0%0.0
1-20Drexel (147.2)CAAA57-78L0%0.0
1-23NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAA64-67L0%0.0
1-25Radford (169.2)BSthH67-63W100%0.0
1-27William & Mary (57.0)CAAH65-63W100%0.0
1-30George Mason (158.1)CAAA68-70L0%0.0
2-3Hofstra (145.0)CAAH48-68L0%0.0
2-8Towson (264.6)CAAA78-81L0%0.0
2-10Old Dominion (26.9)CAAH44-64L0%0.0
2-13Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAH76-71W100%0.0
2-16Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA72-77L0%0.0
2-20Canisius (205.0)MAACA66-70L0%0.0
2-22Longwood (285.8)indH96-86W100%0.0
2-24Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAA62-76L0%0.0
2-27Drexel (147.2)CAAH64-67L0%0.0
3-5Drexel (147.2)CAAN77-65W100%0.0
3-6William & Mary (57.0)CAAN65-70L0%0.0