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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Jacksonville St.

Expected RPI:309.0
Current RPI:309
Expected SOS:215
Current Record:6-23
Expected Record:6-23
Current Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-8
Current OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC RPI:335
Expected OOC SOS:267


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jacksonville St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Central Michigan (156.0)MACA89-83L0%0.0
11-18Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA71-62L0%0.0
11-20Winthrop (130.0)BSthA80-69L0%0.0
11-22UAB (88.0)CUSAA61-55L0%0.0
11-24Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH69-73L0%0.0
11-27Chicago St. (348.0)WACN68-65W100%0.0
11-28Chattanooga (50.0)SCN52-62L0%0.0
12-1Samford (252.0)SCH71-77L0%0.0
12-5Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH82-86L0%0.0
12-13Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH60-63L0%0.0
12-18Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA77-60L0%0.0
12-21Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH79-76W100%0.0
12-29Alabama (73.0)SECA67-59L0%0.0
12-31SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH72-67W100%0.0
1-2Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH64-75L0%0.0
1-7Austin Peay (184.0)OVCA73-54L0%0.0
1-9Murray St. (169.0)OVCA69-54L0%0.0
1-13Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA60-74W100%0.0
1-16Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH82-60W100%0.0
1-21Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA91-88L0%0.0
1-24Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA74-78W100%0.0
1-28Belmont (98.0)OVCH63-72L0%0.0
1-30Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH53-78L0%0.0
2-6Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH58-68L0%0.0
2-10Belmont (98.0)OVCA81-73L0%0.0
2-13Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA72-70L0%0.0
2-20Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA61-46L0%0.0
2-25Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH54-76L0%0.0
2-27Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH71-82L0%0.0