Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Jacksonville St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Jacksonville St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:298.1
Current RPI:298
Expected SOS:251
Current Record:9-19
Expected Record:9-19
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-5
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:332
Expected OOC SOS:297


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-1932.14%298.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jacksonville St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17UAB (45.3)CUSAH62-87L0%0.0
11-21Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH89-67W100%0.0
11-24Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndA73-77L0%0.0
11-27Georgia (105.1)SECA64-67L0%0.0
12-1Chattanooga (238.0)SCH71-80L0%0.0
12-5Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCH83-72W100%0.0
12-15Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACH95-78W100%0.0
12-21Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndH55-60L0%0.0
12-29Mississippi (59.5)SECA75-90L0%0.0
1-2Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA48-50L0%0.0
1-4Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA66-78L0%0.0
1-7Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCH68-65W100%0.0
1-9Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH71-78L0%0.0
1-14Murray St. (54.4)OVCA68-92L0%0.0
1-16Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCA73-63W100%0.0
1-21Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH85-67W100%0.0
1-23Austin Peay (162.2)OVCH64-66L0%0.0
1-28Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCH58-55W100%0.0
1-30Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCH70-55W100%0.0
2-4Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA75-94L0%0.0
2-6Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA65-66L0%0.0
2-11Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH80-68W100%0.0
2-13Murray St. (54.4)OVCH67-75L0%0.0
2-15Austin Peay (162.2)OVCA63-83L0%0.0
2-17Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCA57-76L0%0.0
2-20Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH55-59L0%0.0
2-27Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA62-72L0%0.0
3-2Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA54-87L0%0.0