


| Conference: | OVC |
| Expected RPI: | 247.7 |
| Current RPI: | 252 |
| Expected SOS: | 224 |
| Current Record: | 8-15 |
| Expected Record: | 11-18 |
| Current Conf Record: | 5-7 |
| Expected Conf Record: | 8-10 |
| Expected Conf Tourney Record: | 1-1 |
| Probability of Auto Bid: | 0.90% |
| Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: | 0-1 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: | 0-1 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: | 0-3 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: | 3-8 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 200+: | 9-5 |
| Current OOC Record: | 3-8 |
| Expected OOC Record: | 4-8 |
| Expected OOC RPI: | 250 |
| Expected OOC SOS: | 158 |
| Final Record | W-L pctg. | Expected RPI | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17-15 | 53.12% | 136.0 | 0.02% |
| 16-15 | 51.61% | 145.5 | 0.04% |
| 16-16 | 50.00% | 155.3 | 0.25% |
| 15-16 | 48.39% | 177.3 | 0.47% |
| 15-17 | 46.88% | 172.9 | 1.39% |
| 14-16 | 46.67% | 203.6 | 1.15% |
| 14-17 | 45.16% | 202.0 | 3.07% |
| 13-16 | 44.83% | 225.3 | 2.03% |
| 14-18 | 43.75% | 192.5 | 1.24% |
| 13-17 | 43.33% | 224.5 | 5.19% |
| 12-16 | 42.86% | 232.9 | 0.09% |
| 13-18 | 41.94% | 216.1 | 5.88% |
| 12-17 | 41.38% | 242.0 | 10.17% |
| 13-19 | 40.62% | 209.9 | 0.42% |
| 12-18 | 40.00% | 241.0 | 8.85% |
| 11-17 | 39.29% | 250.2 | 3.40% |
| 12-19 | 38.71% | 230.1 | 3.72% |
| 11-18 | 37.93% | 258.4 | 17.78% |
| 12-20 | 37.50% | 222.7 | 0.03% |
| 11-19 | 36.67% | 257.4 | 5.56% |
| 10-18 | 35.71% | 266.6 | 8.62% |
| 11-20 | 35.48% | 244.5 | 0.71% |
| 10-19 | 34.48% | 272.6 | 10.61% |
| 10-20 | 33.33% | 271.2 | 1.14% |
| 10-21 | 32.26% | 266.5 | 0.02% |
| 9-19 | 32.14% | 279.6 | 5.40% |
| 9-20 | 31.03% | 283.8 | 1.88% |
| 9-21 | 30.00% | 284.5 | 0.02% |
| 8-20 | 28.57% | 289.6 | 0.80% |
| 8-21 | 27.59% | 294.0 | 0.04% |
| Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Outcome | Prob(W) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 | Marshall (62.5) | CUSA | A | 58-44 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-15 | Cincinnati (91.3) | BE | A | 73-59 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-19 | Alabama St. (302.2) | SWAC | H | 78-65 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 11-25 | Northwestern St. (179.3) | Slnd | A | 66-61 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-27 | Weber St. (78.7) | BSky | N | 69-61 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-1 | South Carolina Upstate (156.4) | ASun | A | 50-48 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-10 | Southern (280.2) | SWAC | N | 50-55 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-11 | Tulane (171.0) | CUSA | A | 59-51 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-17 | Eastern Kentucky (206.1) | OVC | H | 53-59 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-28 | Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7) | SWAC | N | 78-55 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-29 | Colorado St. (42.4) | MWC | N | 79-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-31 | SIU Edwardsville (305.6) | OVC | A | 66-61 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-2 | Southeast Missouri St. (236.6) | OVC | A | 74-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-5 | Morehead St. (185.5) | OVC | H | 55-63 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-7 | Tennessee St. (153.6) | OVC | H | 72-65 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-12 | Murray St. (26.6) | OVC | A | 66-55 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-14 | Austin Peay (197.8) | OVC | A | 60-57 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-19 | Tennessee Tech (131.7) | OVC | A | 62-63 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-26 | Eastern Illinois (295.0) | OVC | H | 63-45 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-28 | SIU Edwardsville (305.6) | OVC | H | 76-65 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-30 | South Carolina Upstate (156.4) | ASun | H | 77-82 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-2 | Tennessee Martin (323.2) | OVC | A | 74-85 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 2-4 | Tennessee Tech (131.7) | OVC | H | 68-76 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-8 | Morehead St. (185.5) | OVC | A | 0-0 | 36% | -3.9 | |
| 2-14 | Tennessee St. (153.6) | OVC | A | 0-0 | 31% | -5.5 | |
| 2-18 | Presbyterian (251.9) | BSth | H | 0-0 | 63% | 3.5 | |
| 2-23 | Southeast Missouri St. (236.6) | OVC | H | 0-0 | 62% | 3.3 | |
| 2-25 | Tennessee Martin (323.2) | OVC | H | 0-0 | 85% | 11.2 |