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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Jackson St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:312.2
Current RPI:318
Expected SOS:294
Current Record:4-18
Expected Record:7-23
Current Conf Record:3-8
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.59%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-12
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:185
Expected OOC SOS:2


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1940.62%236.20.05%
12-1938.71%251.20.04%
12-2037.50%252.60.29%
11-1936.67%272.00.03%
11-2035.48%270.40.30%
11-2134.38%269.91.20%
10-2033.33%285.50.60%
10-2132.26%285.31.48%
10-2231.25%284.22.24%
9-2031.03%286.00.01%
9-2130.00%294.84.30%
9-2229.03%296.33.67%
9-2328.12%296.31.60%
8-2127.59%300.40.57%
8-2226.67%303.613.04%
8-2325.81%305.72.92%
8-2425.00%306.00.17%
7-2224.14%310.99.53%
7-2323.33%312.416.45%
7-2422.58%314.80.70%
6-2320.69%321.221.62%
6-2420.00%321.95.07%
6-2519.35%327.00.01%
5-2417.24%330.612.11%
5-2516.67%329.80.15%
4-2513.79%336.91.84%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jackson St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Florida (17.2)SECA99-59L0%0.0
11-13Baylor (9.9)B12A92-59L0%0.0
11-16Wright St. (220.5)HorzA56-39L0%0.0
11-18Ohio St. (4.1)B10A85-41L0%0.0
11-22Tulsa (106.2)CUSAH51-57L0%0.0
11-25North Florida (177.6)ASunA69-60L0%0.0
11-28Memphis (33.8)CUSAA70-45L0%0.0
12-11California (40.2)P12A73-46L0%0.0
12-13St. Mary's (16.6)WCCA77-53L0%0.0
12-15Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAN58-59W100%0.0
12-18North Texas (198.8)SBA69-55L0%0.0
1-3Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACH55-52W100%0.0
1-5Alabama St. (302.2)SWACH78-81L0%0.0
1-7Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACA63-60L0%0.0
1-9Southern (280.2)SWACA68-37L0%0.0
1-14Prairie View A&M (278.7)SWACH66-72L0%0.0
1-16Texas Southern (228.4)SWACH54-51W100%0.0
1-21Grambling (341.9)SWACH80-67W100%0.0
1-28Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACA60-54L0%0.0
1-30Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACA73-69L0%0.0
2-4Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACH46-57L0%0.0
2-6Southern (280.2)SWACH44-49L0%0.0
2-11Prairie View A&M (278.7)SWACA0-032%-5.2
2-13Texas Southern (228.4)SWACA0-016%-10.6
2-18Grambling (341.9)SWACA0-071%5.9
2-25Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACH0-025%-7.4
2-27Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACH0-062%3.4
3-1Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACA0-039%-2.9
3-3Alabama St. (302.2)SWACA0-032%-5.1