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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Indiana St.

Expected RPI:172.0
Current RPI:172
Expected SOS:121
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-4
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:159
Expected OOC SOS:92


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Indiana St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13IUPUI (189.0)SumH70-72L0%0.0
11-16Wyoming (187.0)MWCH70-55W100%0.0
11-20Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACN61-70W100%0.0
11-22Tulsa (58.0)AmerN59-67L0%0.0
11-23Hofstra (54.0)CAAN66-67W100%0.0
12-1Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA68-62L0%0.0
12-5Butler (57.0)BEA85-71L0%0.0
12-9Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH63-69L0%0.0
12-13Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA75-62L0%0.0
12-19Saint Louis (206.0)A10A68-76W100%0.0
12-22Ball St. (179.0)MACH73-61W100%0.0
12-30Evansville (93.0)MVCA70-62L0%0.0
1-2Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH73-58W100%0.0
1-6Drake (325.0)MVCA69-79W100%0.0
1-9Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH77-65W100%0.0
1-13Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH74-60W100%0.0
1-17Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA82-62L0%0.0
1-20Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA79-66L0%0.0
1-24Evansville (93.0)MVCH82-65W100%0.0
1-27Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH68-59W100%0.0
1-30Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA104-96L0%0.0
2-2Drake (325.0)MVCH63-56W100%0.0
2-6Bradley (306.0)MVCA63-58L0%0.0
2-10Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH78-85L0%0.0
2-13Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA89-85L0%0.0
2-17Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA78-50L0%0.0
2-21Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH51-84L0%0.0
2-24Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA66-44L0%0.0
2-27Bradley (306.0)MVCH77-58W100%0.0
3-4Illinois St. (114.0)MVCN57-65W100%0.0
3-5Evansville (93.0)MVCN68-42L0%0.0