Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Illinois St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Illinois St.

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:74.4
Current RPI:74
Expected SOS:136
Current Record:22-10
Expected Record:22-10
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:115
Expected OOC SOS:299


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-1068.75%74.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15SIU Edwardsville (321.8)OVCA82-60W100%0.0
11-21North Florida (234.0)ASunH71-55W100%0.0
11-23Illinois Chicago (290.7)HorzA69-65W100%0.0
11-27Norfolk St. (265.7)MEACH79-66W100%0.0
11-28Southeast Missouri St. (312.6)OVCH93-53W100%0.0
11-29St. Bonaventure (152.8)A10H80-77W100%0.0
12-5Central Michigan (194.8)MACH75-62W100%0.0
12-13Niagara (130.2)MAACH68-76L0%0.0
12-16Ohio (106.4)MACA57-75L0%0.0
12-19Utah (157.9)MWCA73-63W100%0.0
12-22Grambling (339.5)SWACH80-56W100%0.0
12-29Wichita St. (42.8)MVCH72-57W100%0.0
1-1Missouri St. (89.6)MVCA64-68L0%0.0
1-3Southern Illinois (170.0)MVCH68-61W100%0.0
1-6Evansville (248.4)MVCA82-63W100%0.0
1-9Northern Iowa (18.7)MVCH44-59L0%0.0
1-13Evansville (248.4)MVCH70-56W100%0.0
1-17Drake (181.6)MVCA59-69L0%0.0
1-20Creighton (113.8)MVCH71-62W100%0.0
1-23Southern Illinois (170.0)MVCA80-81L0%0.0
1-27Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA66-74L0%0.0
1-30Bradley (104.0)MVCH66-47W100%0.0
2-3Indiana St. (88.0)MVCA65-72L0%0.0
2-6Drake (181.6)MVCH71-68W100%0.0
2-9Bradley (104.0)MVCA62-61W100%0.0
2-13Creighton (113.8)MVCA67-63W100%0.0
2-17Missouri St. (89.6)MVCH76-72W100%0.0
2-20Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH71-62W100%0.0
2-24Indiana St. (88.0)MVCH75-58W100%0.0
2-27Northern Iowa (18.7)MVCA55-61L0%0.0
3-5Indiana St. (88.0)MVCN69-65W100%0.0
3-6Wichita St. (42.8)MVCN61-65L0%0.0