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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Illinois Chicago

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:297.0
Current RPI:297
Expected SOS:209
Current Record:7-21
Expected Record:7-21
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-6
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:232
Expected OOC SOS:292


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2125.00%297.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACA68-57L0%0.0
11-23Evansville (131.0)MVCH79-75W100%0.0
11-26Toledo (246.0)MACA82-67L0%0.0
12-1Wisconsin Green Bay (148.0)HorzA71-68L0%0.0
12-3Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzA73-71L0%0.0
12-10Northern Illinois (334.0)MACH62-55W100%0.0
12-13Oregon St. (135.0)P12A95-53L0%0.0
12-16Central Michigan (280.0)MACA70-67L0%0.0
12-19Western Illinois (150.0)SumH57-56W100%0.0
12-23Dayton (81.0)A10A64-57L0%0.0
12-29Detroit (126.0)HorzH63-59W100%0.0
12-31Wright St. (224.0)HorzH70-74L0%0.0
1-5Cleveland St. (85.0)HorzA73-56L0%0.0
1-7Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzA71-50L0%0.0
1-14Loyola Chicago (309.0)HorzH58-51W100%0.0
1-19Butler (113.0)HorzH49-57L0%0.0
1-21Valparaiso (95.0)HorzH55-60L0%0.0
1-25Wright St. (224.0)HorzA69-63L0%0.0
1-27Detroit (126.0)HorzA70-66L0%0.0
2-2Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzH72-68W100%0.0
2-5Cleveland St. (85.0)HorzH42-70L0%0.0
2-11Loyola Chicago (309.0)HorzA78-69L0%0.0
2-14Valparaiso (95.0)HorzA74-65L0%0.0
2-18Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCA63-67W100%0.0
2-21Butler (113.0)HorzA69-44L0%0.0
2-23Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzH61-72L0%0.0
2-25Wisconsin Green Bay (148.0)HorzH63-71L0%0.0
2-28Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzA68-55L0%0.0