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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Illinois Chicago

Expected RPI:346.0
Current RPI:346
Expected SOS:260
Current Record:3-25
Expected Record:3-25
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-11
Current OOC Record:0-9
Expected OOC Record:0-9
Expected OOC RPI:351
Expected OOC SOS:336


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13San Francisco (228.0)WCCH75-78L0%0.0
11-17Western Illinois (262.0)SumA84-57L0%0.0
11-28Drake (325.0)MVCA83-62L0%0.0
12-2DePaul (198.0)BEH55-82L0%0.0
12-5UCF (219.0)AmerA88-58L0%0.0
12-12Illinois (149.0)B10N83-79L0%0.0
12-16Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH60-72L0%0.0
12-19Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA64-47L0%0.0
12-29Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH65-70L0%0.0
1-2Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA75-47L0%0.0
1-8Detroit (204.0)HorzA87-69L0%0.0
1-10Oakland (116.0)HorzA86-61L0%0.0
1-14Green Bay (112.0)HorzH76-78L0%0.0
1-16Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH62-87L0%0.0
1-18Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA70-53L0%0.0
1-22Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA82-69L0%0.0
1-24Wright St. (146.0)HorzA80-66L0%0.0
1-28Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH78-82L0%0.0
1-30Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH72-70W100%0.0
2-6Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH55-73L0%0.0
2-11Wright St. (146.0)HorzH64-59W100%0.0
2-13Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH79-77W100%0.0
2-16Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzA92-91L0%0.0
2-19Detroit (204.0)HorzH72-83L0%0.0
2-21Oakland (116.0)HorzH63-74L0%0.0
2-26Green Bay (112.0)HorzA85-69L0%0.0
2-28Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA98-85L0%0.0
3-5Wright St. (146.0)HorzN74-43L0%0.0