Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Illinois Chicago   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Illinois Chicago

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:291.0
Current RPI:291
Expected SOS:175
Current Record:7-22
Expected Record:7-22
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-4
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:234
Expected OOC SOS:248


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2224.14%291.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Central Michigan (195.1)MACA48-67L0%0.0
11-23Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH65-69L0%0.0
11-28Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA64-74L0%0.0
12-3Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA52-57L0%0.0
12-5Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA59-85L0%0.0
12-13DePaul (212.2)BEA56-77L0%0.0
12-16Oregon St. (184.8)P10H63-61W100%0.0
12-19Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH69-49W100%0.0
12-22Akron (84.2)MACA65-77L0%0.0
12-27Wisconsin (21.5)B10A43-79L0%0.0
12-29Toledo (324.5)MACH66-52W100%0.0
12-31Detroit (167.4)HorzH60-56W100%0.0
1-2Wright St. (80.6)HorzH47-64L0%0.0
1-7Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzA67-76L0%0.0
1-9Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA63-70L0%0.0
1-15Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH50-55L0%0.0
1-21Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH58-64L0%0.0
1-23Butler (11.9)HorzH55-84L0%0.0
1-28Wright St. (80.6)HorzA43-79L0%0.0
1-30Detroit (167.4)HorzA73-76L0%0.0
2-4Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzH63-74L0%0.0
2-6Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzH74-68W100%0.0
2-8Valparaiso (185.4)HorzA82-83L0%0.0
2-13Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzA63-80L0%0.0
2-17Butler (11.9)HorzA55-73L0%0.0
2-20Evansville (249.4)MVCA82-80W100%0.0
2-25Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH78-71W100%0.0
2-27Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH74-78L0%0.0
3-2Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA67-73L0%0.0