- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Idaho St.

Expected RPI:256.0
Current RPI:256
Expected SOS:341
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-8
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:313
Expected OOC SOS:332


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Idaho St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-20Washington St. (212.0)P12A85-67L0%0.0
11-25Denver (188.0)SumA79-69L0%0.0
11-27Utah (8.0)P12A102-72L0%0.0
12-5Lamar (337.0)SlndA82-70L0%0.0
12-8Portland (249.0)WCCA65-66W100%0.0
12-12Utah Valley (272.0)WACH76-100L0%0.0
12-21North Dakota St. (120.0)SumN62-67L0%0.0
12-22Utah St. (151.0)MWCA69-58L0%0.0
12-23UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACN64-76W100%0.0
12-29Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH84-79W100%0.0
1-2Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA77-56L0%0.0
1-7Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH83-78W100%0.0
1-9North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH76-84L0%0.0
1-14Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA82-71L0%0.0
1-16Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA70-73W100%0.0
1-23Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH69-68W100%0.0
1-28Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH87-68W100%0.0
1-30Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH88-66W100%0.0
2-4North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA76-60L0%0.0
2-6Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA57-90W100%0.0
2-11Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH88-71W100%0.0
2-13Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH66-64W100%0.0
2-18Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA81-68L0%0.0
2-20Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA71-89W100%0.0
2-25Montana (145.0)BSkyH77-90L0%0.0
2-27Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH76-69W100%0.0
3-3Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA71-75W100%0.0
3-5Idaho (191.0)BSkyA80-70L0%0.0
3-10North Dakota (218.0)BSkyN49-83L0%0.0