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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Idaho St.

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:266.1
Current RPI:241
Expected SOS:217
Current Record:7-15
Expected Record:10-20
Current Conf Record:6-5
Expected Conf Record:8-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.21%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-7
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:315
Expected OOC SOS:169


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1646.67%204.00.03%
14-1745.16%187.70.09%
13-1644.83%217.60.08%
13-1743.33%216.70.78%
13-1841.94%206.20.20%
12-1741.38%235.71.29%
12-1840.00%232.24.36%
12-1938.71%221.90.68%
11-1837.93%250.56.21%
11-1936.67%247.610.83%
10-1835.71%261.00.01%
11-2035.48%234.50.67%
10-1934.48%264.615.35%
10-2033.33%258.810.15%
10-2132.26%239.30.25%
9-1932.14%267.80.75%
9-2031.03%276.422.43%
9-2130.00%266.54.00%
9-2229.03%259.50.04%
8-2028.57%282.43.04%
8-2127.59%286.713.44%
8-2226.67%277.30.43%
7-2125.00%293.63.18%
7-2224.14%295.81.70%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Idaho St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Oklahoma (99.1)B12A78-74L0%0.0
11-14North Dakota (250.8)GWCA63-47L0%0.0
11-23Loyola Marymount (110.2)WCCH76-79L0%0.0
11-26Utah St. (129.7)WACH62-75L0%0.0
11-30New Mexico (26.0)MWCA65-41L0%0.0
12-3North Dakota (250.8)GWCH76-63W100%0.0
12-5Boise St. (185.1)MWCA79-55L0%0.0
12-10Loyola Marymount (110.2)WCCA80-72L0%0.0
12-16Utah (275.1)P12A71-59L0%0.0
12-22Wyoming (58.0)MWCH56-80L0%0.0
12-29Weber St. (78.7)BSkyA78-64L0%0.0
1-2Northern Colorado (253.4)BSkyA55-57W100%0.0
1-5Montana St. (262.2)BSkyH69-73L0%0.0
1-7Montana (96.9)BSkyH44-68L0%0.0
1-9Wyoming (58.0)MWCA73-49L0%0.0
1-14Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyA67-68W100%0.0
1-16Portland St. (206.9)BSkyA80-68L0%0.0
1-21Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyH78-62W100%0.0
1-26Northern Colorado (253.4)BSkyH99-94W100%0.0
1-28Weber St. (78.7)BSkyH64-62W100%0.0
2-2Montana St. (262.2)BSkyA86-87W100%0.0
2-6Montana (96.9)BSkyA76-40L0%0.0
2-9Portland St. (206.9)BSkyH0-039%-3.0
2-11Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyA0-056%1.6
2-18Pacific (263.1)BWA0-024%-7.7
2-23Eastern Washington (207.3)BSkyH0-034%-4.4
2-25Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyH0-054%1.2
2-28Eastern Washington (207.3)BSkyA0-016%-10.9