Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Idaho St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Idaho St.

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:303.8
Current RPI:306
Expected SOS:182
Current Record:5-22
Expected Record:5-22
Current Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-7
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:278
Expected OOC SOS:136


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
5-2218.52%303.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Idaho St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Iowa St. (122.8)B12A68-88L0%0.0
11-15Bradley (104.6)MVCA69-74L0%0.0
11-17Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA53-87L0%0.0
11-24Utah St. (24.4)WACA44-77L0%0.0
11-28Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA68-65W100%0.0
12-1Notre Dame (48.1)BEA70-80L0%0.0
12-5Utah (156.1)MWCA56-68L0%0.0
12-9Boise St. (202.8)WACH67-79L0%0.0
12-11Southern California (110.9)P10A53-59L0%0.0
12-19Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA63-64L0%0.0
12-22Oregon (138.5)P10A71-77L0%0.0
12-31Montana (97.3)BSkyH67-65W100%0.0
1-3Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH63-70L0%0.0
1-7Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA56-68L0%0.0
1-9Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA66-78L0%0.0
1-16Weber St. (84.7)BSkyH93-95L0%0.0
1-22Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyH80-74W100%0.0
1-23Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH88-80W100%0.0
1-30Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH55-72L0%0.0
2-5Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA60-63L0%0.0
2-6Montana (97.3)BSkyA68-91L0%0.0
2-12Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH59-68L0%0.0
2-13Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH73-71W100%0.0
2-15Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH79-82L0%0.0
2-20Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA64-89L0%0.0
2-26Portland St. (221.5)BSkyA63-98L0%0.0
2-27Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA71-79L0%0.0