Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  IUPU Fort Wayne   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

IUPU Fort Wayne

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:225.3
Current RPI:226
Expected SOS:283
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-5
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:236
Expected OOC SOS:314


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%225.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for IUPU Fort Wayne.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Wisconsin (21.5)B10A46-75L0%0.0
11-19Washington St. (162.6)P10A70-89L0%0.0
11-20Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA55-90L0%0.0
12-1SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCA69-64W100%0.0
12-5Oakland (51.7)SumH76-84L0%0.0
12-10Toledo (324.5)MACA72-73L0%0.0
12-12North Dakota (339.3)GWCH73-52W100%0.0
12-19Michigan St. (29.5)B10A58-80L0%0.0
12-22Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH75-72W100%0.0
12-31IUPUI (86.1)SumH69-79L0%0.0
1-2Western Illinois (280.0)SumH53-49W100%0.0
1-7Centenary (314.0)SumA62-75L0%0.0
1-9Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA55-68L0%0.0
1-14Southern Utah (325.5)SumH61-56W100%0.0
1-16Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH78-69W100%0.0
1-21South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA64-65L0%0.0
1-23North Dakota St. (268.0)SumA68-59W100%0.0
1-28Western Illinois (280.0)SumA63-58W100%0.0
1-31IUPUI (86.1)SumA62-60W100%0.0
2-4Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH68-71L0%0.0
2-6Centenary (314.0)SumH78-80L0%0.0
2-11Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA56-65L0%0.0
2-13Southern Utah (325.5)SumA72-65W100%0.0
2-18North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH71-67W100%0.0
2-20South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH78-72W100%0.0
2-23SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH78-40W100%0.0
2-27Oakland (51.7)SumA83-86L0%0.0
3-7South Dakota St. (233.5)SumN71-66W100%0.0
3-8Oakland (51.7)SumN58-71L0%0.0