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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

IUPU Fort Wayne

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:271.7
Current RPI:274
Expected SOS:213
Current Record:7-14
Expected Record:8-18
Current Conf Record:4-10
Expected Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.19%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-6
Current OOC Record:3-4
Expected OOC Record:3-5
Expected OOC RPI:242
Expected OOC SOS:313


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%143.00.01%
13-1546.43%188.00.02%
13-1644.83%173.30.07%
12-1544.44%210.40.09%
12-1642.86%201.80.15%
12-1741.38%194.80.24%
11-1640.74%225.71.31%
11-1739.29%219.10.72%
10-1638.46%242.90.34%
11-1837.93%215.30.49%
10-1737.04%242.09.31%
10-1835.71%241.01.39%
9-1734.62%263.27.03%
10-1934.48%236.30.43%
9-1833.33%261.420.48%
9-1932.14%261.71.07%
9-2031.03%257.50.02%
8-1830.77%281.722.64%
8-1929.63%279.015.64%
8-2028.57%279.20.06%
7-1926.92%296.417.79%
7-2025.93%294.10.69%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for IUPU Fort Wayne.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Xavier (62.4)A10A86-63L0%0.0
11-26Iowa (149.1)B10A82-72L0%0.0
12-1Missouri Kansas City (244.9)SumH66-81L0%0.0
12-3South Dakota (283.1)SumH92-87W100%0.0
12-7Valparaiso (105.3)HorzH85-76W100%0.0
12-13Dartmouth (322.1)IvyH56-51W100%0.0
12-18Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCA76-82W100%0.0
12-20Purdue (69.2)B10A81-56L0%0.0
12-28South Dakota St. (49.5)SumA94-58L0%0.0
12-30North Dakota St. (121.0)SumA84-68L0%0.0
1-3Southern Utah (234.6)SumH79-58W100%0.0
1-5IUPUI (246.0)SumH72-67W100%0.0
1-7Western Illinois (180.2)SumH65-75L0%0.0
1-14Oakland (140.4)SumH86-96L0%0.0
1-19Oral Roberts (40.9)SumA65-54L0%0.0
1-21Southern Utah (234.6)SumA58-56L0%0.0
1-26North Dakota St. (121.0)SumH75-66W100%0.0
1-28South Dakota St. (49.5)SumH43-74L0%0.0
2-2Western Illinois (180.2)SumA62-52L0%0.0
2-4IUPUI (246.0)SumA66-63L0%0.0
2-7Chicago St. (335.1)GWCA63-57L0%0.0
2-11Oakland (140.4)SumA0-016%-10.8
2-15Oral Roberts (40.9)SumH0-014%-11.8
2-18Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCA0-033%-4.8
2-23South Dakota (283.1)SumA0-040%-2.9
2-25Missouri Kansas City (244.9)SumA0-034%-4.4