Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Houston Baptist   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Houston Baptist

Conference:GWC
Expected RPI:326.8
Current RPI:328
Expected SOS:345
Current Record:12-20
Expected Record:12-21
Current Conf Record:11-3
Expected Conf Record:11-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:15.48%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-15
Current OOC Record:1-17
Expected OOC Record:1-17
Expected OOC RPI:346
Expected OOC SOS:332


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-2039.39%320.215.48%
12-2136.36%328.084.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Houston Baptist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13South Alabama (209.4)SBH64-76L0%0.0
11-14Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH60-70L0%0.0
11-15Rice (311.0)CUSAA46-60L0%0.0
11-20Michigan (133.7)B10A55-77L0%0.0
11-24Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndA61-92L0%0.0
11-30Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndH75-80L0%0.0
12-2Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH92-77W100%0.0
12-5New Orleans (323.2)SBA67-79L0%0.0
12-12Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH87-102L0%0.0
12-14Santa Clara (234.3)WCCH65-68L0%0.0
12-19Boise St. (202.8)WACA59-96L0%0.0
12-22Creighton (114.4)MVCA56-85L0%0.0
1-3Memphis (56.3)CUSAA52-93L0%0.0
1-14Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH66-56W100%0.0
1-16NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCH75-62W100%0.0
1-19Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH66-77L0%0.0
1-23Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA68-82L0%0.0
1-25Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndA73-84L0%0.0
1-28South Dakota (216.8)GWCH70-92L0%0.0
1-30North Dakota (339.3)GWCH75-65W100%0.0
2-4Chicago St. (344.3)GWCA85-83W100%0.0
2-6Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA66-72L0%0.0
2-10Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCA84-82W100%0.0
2-13Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA79-109L0%0.0
2-15North Texas (103.0)SBH87-107L0%0.0
2-18NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCA62-58W100%0.0
2-25Utah Valley (342.0)GWCH61-48W100%0.0
2-27Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH76-62W100%0.0
3-4North Dakota (339.3)GWCA91-81W100%0.0
3-6South Dakota (216.8)GWCA84-97L0%0.0
3-10Chicago St. (344.3)GWCN80-77W100%0.0
3-12NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCN74-64W100%0.0