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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Houston Baptist

Conference:GWC
Expected RPI:311.7
Current RPI:309
Expected SOS:298
Current Record:5-15
Expected Record:8-20
Current Conf Record:1-4
Expected Conf Record:4-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-11
Current OOC Record:4-11
Expected OOC Record:4-12
Expected OOC RPI:275
Expected OOC SOS:171


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%219.00.02%
13-1546.43%222.00.01%
13-1644.83%230.00.06%
12-1642.86%251.80.09%
12-1741.38%253.70.64%
11-1640.74%276.50.08%
11-1739.29%274.30.67%
11-1837.93%273.62.16%
10-1737.04%290.31.22%
10-1835.71%289.53.91%
10-1934.48%290.13.04%
9-1833.33%301.97.35%
9-1932.14%301.69.69%
9-2031.03%301.22.96%
8-1929.63%312.818.24%
8-2028.57%312.010.34%
8-2127.59%312.01.51%
7-2025.93%322.720.75%
7-2125.00%322.14.19%
7-2224.14%321.70.36%
6-2122.22%330.110.52%
6-2221.43%329.70.49%
5-2218.52%335.41.69%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Houston Baptist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Campbell (155.0)BSthA82-68L0%0.0
11-14Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACH76-74W100%0.0
11-18Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBA73-64L0%0.0
11-19Nicholls St. (315.0)SlndN70-80L0%0.0
11-20Cal St. Fullerton (159.2)BWN83-88W100%0.0
11-25Washington (71.3)P12A88-65L0%0.0
11-30Rice (180.2)CUSAH66-78L0%0.0
12-3Texas St. (317.6)SlndA103-76L0%0.0
12-14Campbell (155.0)BSthH87-76W100%0.0
12-17Creighton (24.5)MVCA97-62L0%0.0
12-21Santa Clara (275.1)WCCH72-71W100%0.0
12-31Duquesne (86.2)A10A118-72L0%0.0
1-3New Mexico (26.0)MWCA98-61L0%0.0
1-7Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCH62-74L0%0.0
1-19NJ Inst of Technology (290.3)GWCA85-62L0%0.0
1-21Chicago St. (335.1)GWCA98-95L0%0.0
1-24Texas Arlington (85.3)SlndH74-79L0%0.0
1-28Texas Pan American (304.9)GWCA81-71L0%0.0
2-2North Dakota (250.8)GWCH69-62W100%0.0
2-4Utah Valley (206.6)GWCH66-68L0%0.0
2-8Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACA0-020%-9.1
2-16Chicago St. (335.1)GWCH0-074%7.1
2-18NJ Inst of Technology (290.3)GWCH0-056%1.6
2-23Utah Valley (206.6)GWCA0-014%-11.8
2-25North Dakota (250.8)GWCA0-020%-9.3
3-3Texas Pan American (304.9)GWCH0-056%1.8