Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Holy Cross   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Holy Cross

Conference:Pat
Expected RPI:272.4
Current RPI:272
Expected SOS:214
Current Record:9-22
Expected Record:9-22
Current Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-10
Current OOC Record:3-12
Expected OOC Record:3-12
Expected OOC RPI:280
Expected OOC SOS:201


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2229.03%272.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Holy Cross.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Harvard (98.9)IvyH77-87L0%0.0
11-17Saint Joseph's (182.1)A10A67-69L0%0.0
11-20Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH73-76L0%0.0
11-22Rhode Island (37.1)A10A75-92L0%0.0
11-25Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA59-80L0%0.0
11-28Western Michigan (149.7)MACA54-64L0%0.0
11-30Marist (334.0)MAACH68-56W100%0.0
12-2Brown (256.6)IvyA85-79W100%0.0
12-5Massachusetts (174.2)A10N63-84L0%0.0
12-9Fairfield (81.0)MAACA54-73L0%0.0
12-22Sacred Heart (262.1)NECH79-82L0%0.0
12-28George Washington (149.3)A10H68-70L0%0.0
12-31Stony Brook (141.4)AEA60-69L0%0.0
1-2Central Connecticut (309.1)NECN70-53W100%0.0
1-6North Carolina St. (92.6)ACCA70-87L0%0.0
1-9Lafayette (209.5)PatA74-84L0%0.0
1-13Army (247.3)PatH64-67L0%0.0
1-16Bucknell (258.5)PatH82-69W100%0.0
1-20Navy (264.0)PatH79-60W100%0.0
1-23American (294.1)PatA64-71L0%0.0
1-27Colgate (290.0)PatA68-69L0%0.0
1-31Lehigh (151.8)PatH60-78L0%0.0
2-6Lafayette (209.5)PatH73-46W100%0.0
2-10Army (247.3)PatA70-56W100%0.0
2-14Bucknell (258.5)PatA63-68L0%0.0
2-17Navy (264.0)PatA80-83L0%0.0
2-21American (294.1)PatH64-51W100%0.0
2-24Colgate (290.0)PatH74-79L0%0.0
2-27Lehigh (151.8)PatA80-91L0%0.0
3-3Bucknell (258.5)PatA67-64W100%0.0
3-7Lafayette (209.5)PatA63-66L0%0.0