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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

High Point

Expected RPI:158.0
Current RPI:158
Expected SOS:293
Current Record:18-10
Expected Record:18-10
Current Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-3
Current OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC RPI:168
Expected OOC SOS:247


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for High Point.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Texas Tech (36.0)B12A77-73L0%0.0
11-18Drexel (247.0)CAAA66-75W100%0.0
11-21Western Carolina (166.0)SCH75-69W100%0.0
11-25Georgia (62.0)SECA49-46L0%0.0
11-28Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH82-72W100%0.0
12-2Longwood (323.0)BSthH90-66W100%0.0
12-5Gardner Webb (210.0)BSthA64-66W100%0.0
12-9UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH90-72W100%0.0
12-16North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA76-73L0%0.0
12-21William & Mary (67.0)CAAA78-75L0%0.0
12-31Radford (192.0)BSthH77-60W100%0.0
1-2Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthA73-78W100%0.0
1-9Presbyterian (319.0)BSthH82-66W100%0.0
1-14Winthrop (130.0)BSthA86-66L0%0.0
1-16Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthH68-71L0%0.0
1-20UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthH73-69W100%0.0
1-23Liberty (264.0)BSthA69-67L0%0.0
1-27Campbell (308.0)BSthA63-73W100%0.0
2-3Gardner Webb (210.0)BSthH74-79L0%0.0
2-6Liberty (264.0)BSthH76-80L0%0.0
2-11Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthA67-68W100%0.0
2-13Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthH72-50W100%0.0
2-18Longwood (323.0)BSthA80-88W100%0.0
2-20Radford (192.0)BSthA72-75W100%0.0
2-25Winthrop (130.0)BSthH87-85W100%0.0
2-27Presbyterian (319.0)BSthA60-80W100%0.0
3-4Longwood (323.0)BSthN89-78W100%0.0
3-5UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthN69-80L0%0.0