- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Grand Canyon

Expected RPI:91.0
Current RPI:91
Expected SOS:258
Current Record:23-6
Expected Record:23-6
Current Conf Record:11-3
Expected Conf Record:11-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-1
Current OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC RPI:52
Expected OOC SOS:146


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Grand Canyon.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH82-72W100%0.0
11-19Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH79-46W100%0.0
11-23Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH94-60W100%0.0
11-30Hampton (155.0)MEACH63-51W100%0.0
12-3Central Michigan (156.0)MACH75-72W100%0.0
12-5Louisville (17.0)ACCA111-63L0%0.0
12-8Southern (186.0)SWACH70-56W100%0.0
12-13Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH104-108L0%0.0
12-15Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH88-59W100%0.0
12-18San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA45-52W100%0.0
12-21Houston (87.0)AmerN69-78W100%0.0
12-22Marshall (128.0)CUSAN81-85W100%0.0
12-28SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA75-86W100%0.0
1-3Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH74-53W100%0.0
1-7UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH83-63W100%0.0
1-9New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH79-75W100%0.0
1-16Utah Valley (272.0)WACH99-88W100%0.0
1-21Chicago St. (348.0)WACA65-90W100%0.0
1-23UMKC (286.0)WACA78-85W100%0.0
1-28Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH70-64W100%0.0
1-30Seattle (287.0)WACH57-59L0%0.0
2-4New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA70-50L0%0.0
2-6UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA58-64W100%0.0
2-12Seattle (287.0)WACA60-71W100%0.0
2-18UMKC (286.0)WACH78-66W100%0.0
2-20Chicago St. (348.0)WACH67-52W100%0.0
2-27Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA77-62L0%0.0
3-1Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA73-64L0%0.0
3-5Utah Valley (272.0)WACA79-86W100%0.0