- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Grambling St.

Expected RPI:350.0
Current RPI:350
Expected SOS:329
Current Record:4-24
Expected Record:4-24
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-13
Current OOC Record:0-9
Expected OOC Record:0-9
Expected OOC RPI:325
Expected OOC SOS:82


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Grambling St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13East Carolina (217.0)AmerA61-53L0%0.0
11-17Ohio St. (74.0)B10A82-55L0%0.0
11-19Memphis (139.0)AmerA83-65L0%0.0
11-21Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH67-86L0%0.0
11-25UT Arlington (105.0)SBA73-40L0%0.0
12-2Marquette (110.0)BEA95-49L0%0.0
12-12Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCN64-52L0%0.0
12-17North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA61-47L0%0.0
12-19Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA87-52L0%0.0
1-2Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH81-78W100%0.0
1-4Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH84-81W100%0.0
1-9Southern (186.0)SWACA66-61L0%0.0
1-11Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACA69-53L0%0.0
1-16Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH66-63W100%0.0
1-18Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH54-69L0%0.0
1-23Jackson St. (221.0)SWACA60-45L0%0.0
1-30Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACA63-59L0%0.0
2-1Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACA72-59L0%0.0
2-6Southern (186.0)SWACH66-79L0%0.0
2-8Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH63-66L0%0.0
2-13Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACA60-56L0%0.0
2-15Texas Southern (190.0)SWACA79-72L0%0.0
2-20Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH58-61L0%0.0
2-27Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH51-53L0%0.0
2-29Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH57-58L0%0.0
3-3Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACA58-65W100%0.0
3-5Alabama St. (265.0)SWACA59-58L0%0.0
3-8Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACN87-73L0%0.0