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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Georgia Southern

Expected RPI:243.0
Current RPI:243
Expected SOS:243
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:10-11
Expected Conf Record:10-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC RPI:305
Expected OOC SOS:298


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Mississippi (96.0)SECA82-72L0%0.0
11-20Auburn (175.0)SECA92-62L0%0.0
11-25The Citadel (322.0)SCN90-95L0%0.0
11-27USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA80-84W100%0.0
12-2Savannah St. (277.0)MEACA76-67L0%0.0
12-15Duke (20.0)ACCA99-65L0%0.0
12-19Winthrop (130.0)BSthH81-88L0%0.0
12-22Stetson (303.0)ASunH78-58W100%0.0
12-30Texas St. (238.0)SBA80-66L0%0.0
1-2UT Arlington (105.0)SBA92-72L0%0.0
1-7South Alabama (240.0)SBH58-64L0%0.0
1-9Troy (293.0)SBH93-88W100%0.0
1-14Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH65-74L0%0.0
1-16Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH66-51W100%0.0
1-19Georgia St. (180.0)SBA69-66L0%0.0
1-25Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA100-101W100%0.0
1-28Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA80-67L0%0.0
1-30Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA66-71W100%0.0
2-4UT Arlington (105.0)SBH82-73W100%0.0
2-6Texas St. (238.0)SBH66-62W100%0.0
2-11Troy (293.0)SBA71-77W100%0.0
2-13South Alabama (240.0)SBA80-76L0%0.0
2-18Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH90-59W100%0.0
2-20Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH61-75L0%0.0
2-23Georgia St. (180.0)SBH54-52W100%0.0
2-25Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH88-63W100%0.0
3-3Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA83-76L0%0.0
3-5Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA87-78L0%0.0
3-10South Alabama (240.0)SBN61-67L0%0.0