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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Georgia Southern

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:203.0
Current RPI:203
Expected SOS:249
Current Record:13-15
Expected Record:13-15
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC RPI:332
Expected OOC SOS:150


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1546.43%203.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Valparaiso (95.0)HorzH81-90L0%0.0
11-16Wake Forest (183.0)ACCA81-72L0%0.0
11-23South Florida (52.0)BEA66-46L0%0.0
11-27Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAA55-49L0%0.0
12-1Chattanooga (310.0)SCH84-76W100%0.0
12-3Appalachian St. (258.0)SCH73-62W100%0.0
12-10Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCA63-59L0%0.0
12-19South Alabama (169.0)SBA70-57L0%0.0
12-22Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA72-52L0%0.0
12-30Auburn (145.0)SECA78-75L0%0.0
1-5Elon (228.0)SCA63-69W100%0.0
1-7Davidson (66.0)SCA96-74L0%0.0
1-12Samford (269.0)SCH58-53W100%0.0
1-14Wofford (178.0)SCA88-63L0%0.0
1-19Furman (235.0)SCA64-54L0%0.0
1-21College of Charleston (122.0)SCH64-58W100%0.0
1-23The Citadel (325.0)SCH78-72W100%0.0
1-26Samford (269.0)SCA57-55L0%0.0
1-28Chattanooga (310.0)SCA72-75W100%0.0
2-4Western Carolina (220.0)SCA65-68W100%0.0
2-6Furman (235.0)SCH64-57W100%0.0
2-9Wofford (178.0)SCH63-49W100%0.0
2-11The Citadel (325.0)SCA72-73W100%0.0
2-18NC Greensboro (231.0)SCH83-69W100%0.0
2-23College of Charleston (122.0)SCA58-53L0%0.0
2-25Davidson (66.0)SCH54-71L0%0.0
3-2Chattanooga (310.0)SCN76-70W100%0.0
3-3Elon (228.0)SCN65-58L0%0.0