Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  George Mason   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

George Mason

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:158.2
Current RPI:159
Expected SOS:164
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-2
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:242
Expected OOC SOS:197


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1454.84%158.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for George Mason.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Liberty (231.6)BSthH76-72W100%0.0
11-15Dartmouth (335.2)IvyH60-44W100%0.0
11-19Villanova (13.5)BEN68-69L0%0.0
11-20Georgia Tech (41.2)ACCN62-70L0%0.0
11-22Indiana (221.3)B10N69-66W100%0.0
11-28Tulane (280.5)CUSAA71-76L0%0.0
12-2George Washington (148.1)A10A49-66L0%0.0
12-5NC Wilmington (236.9)CAAA57-52W100%0.0
12-8Dayton (49.6)A10H55-56L0%0.0
12-12Creighton (113.8)MVCH75-72W100%0.0
12-22Virginia Military Inst (309.7)BSthH89-86W100%0.0
12-30Radford (170.3)BSthA53-80L0%0.0
1-2Old Dominion (26.6)CAAH71-55W100%0.0
1-4Hofstra (146.0)CAAH67-63W100%0.0
1-7Northeastern (72.9)CAAA46-71L0%0.0
1-9NC Wilmington (236.9)CAAH59-46W100%0.0
1-13Georgia St. (248.6)CAAH52-49W100%0.0
1-16James Madison (242.7)CAAA82-71W100%0.0
1-19Hofstra (146.0)CAAA90-72W100%0.0
1-23Towson (263.6)CAAA80-71W100%0.0
1-27Delaware (237.6)CAAH77-66W100%0.0
1-30James Madison (242.7)CAAH70-68W100%0.0
2-3Georgia St. (248.6)CAAA57-61L0%0.0
2-6Drexel (148.7)CAAA60-73L0%0.0
2-9Virginia Commonwealth (64.7)CAAH82-77W100%0.0
2-13Old Dominion (26.6)CAAA60-76L0%0.0
2-16William & Mary (57.7)CAAH60-63L0%0.0
2-20College of Charleston (91.1)SCH83-85L0%0.0
2-24Delaware (237.6)CAAA61-59W100%0.0
2-27Northeastern (72.9)CAAH48-50L0%0.0
3-6Virginia Commonwealth (64.7)CAAN60-75L0%0.0