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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

George Mason

Expected RPI:201.0
Current RPI:201
Expected SOS:89
Current Record:11-21
Expected Record:11-21
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-5
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:186
Expected OOC SOS:120


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for George Mason.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Colgate (241.0)PatH53-66L0%0.0
11-16Mercer (194.0)SCA69-60L0%0.0
11-19Mississippi (96.0)SECN68-62W100%0.0
11-20Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12N68-71W100%0.0
11-22Virginia (3.0)ACCN83-66L0%0.0
11-25Manhattan (229.0)MAACA69-67L0%0.0
11-28Wright St. (146.0)HorzH66-39W100%0.0
12-2Towson (150.0)CAAA75-54L0%0.0
12-5Penn (283.0)IvyH63-44W100%0.0
12-8Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH65-73L0%0.0
12-12James Madison (103.0)CAAA69-46L0%0.0
12-19Longwood (323.0)BSthH75-70W100%0.0
12-22Wagner (185.0)NECH71-60W100%0.0
1-2VCU (37.0)A10A71-47L0%0.0
1-6St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10H58-77L0%0.0
1-9Davidson (64.0)A10A81-75L0%0.0
1-13Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10H73-87L0%0.0
1-17Saint Louis (206.0)A10A79-92W100%0.0
1-20Fordham (176.0)A10A73-62L0%0.0
1-22Duquesne (162.0)A10H75-86L0%0.0
1-31George Washington (68.0)A10H70-76L0%0.0
2-3Richmond (121.0)A10A74-78W100%0.0
2-6Dayton (21.0)A10H64-98L0%0.0
2-9Rhode Island (119.0)A10A81-63L0%0.0
2-13Davidson (64.0)A10H60-59W100%0.0
2-17Saint Louis (206.0)A10H77-79L0%0.0
2-21Massachusetts (171.0)A10A70-64L0%0.0
2-24VCU (37.0)A10H76-69W100%0.0
2-27La Salle (232.0)A10A76-68L0%0.0
3-1George Washington (68.0)A10A74-52L0%0.0
3-5Richmond (121.0)A10H83-73W100%0.0
3-9Saint Louis (206.0)A10N78-83L0%0.0