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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Gardner Webb

Expected RPI:210.0
Current RPI:210
Expected SOS:262
Current Record:14-16
Expected Record:14-16
Current Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-5
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:228
Expected OOC SOS:157


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Gardner Webb.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Iowa (28.0)B10A76-59L0%0.0
11-16Vanderbilt (63.0)SECA98-62L0%0.0
11-22Tennessee (143.0)SECA89-64L0%0.0
11-24George Washington (68.0)A10A94-65L0%0.0
11-27Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndN77-68W100%0.0
11-28Army (214.0)PatA103-98L0%0.0
12-2Presbyterian (319.0)BSthA76-87W100%0.0
12-5High Point (158.0)BSthH64-66L0%0.0
12-12Furman (167.0)SCA53-73W100%0.0
12-16LSU (94.0)SECA78-57L0%0.0
12-21VMI (316.0)SCH75-76L0%0.0
12-31Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthH65-61W100%0.0
1-2Longwood (323.0)BSthA66-67W100%0.0
1-6Campbell (308.0)BSthH71-68W100%0.0
1-9Radford (192.0)BSthH83-61W100%0.0
1-16UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthA75-69L0%0.0
1-20Winthrop (130.0)BSthH58-71L0%0.0
1-24Radford (192.0)BSthA69-59L0%0.0
1-27Liberty (264.0)BSthH55-69L0%0.0
1-30Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthA59-68W100%0.0
2-3High Point (158.0)BSthA74-79W100%0.0
2-6Presbyterian (319.0)BSthH69-66W100%0.0
2-11Campbell (308.0)BSthA89-85L0%0.0
2-13Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthA78-71L0%0.0
2-18Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthH84-76W100%0.0
2-20Longwood (323.0)BSthH81-71W100%0.0
2-27Liberty (264.0)BSthA86-81L0%0.0
3-3Campbell (308.0)BSthA69-79W100%0.0
3-4Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthN65-69W100%0.0
3-5Winthrop (130.0)BSthN82-69L0%0.0