Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Fresno St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Fresno St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:190.4
Current RPI:191
Expected SOS:121
Current Record:14-18
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:7-8
Expected OOC Record:7-8
Expected OOC RPI:211
Expected OOC SOS:182


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1843.75%190.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fresno St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA65-59W100%0.0
11-19Seattle (191.8)indA84-85L0%0.0
11-23San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH58-62L0%0.0
11-28Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA67-74L0%0.0
12-1Pacific (128.6)BWH58-70L0%0.0
12-6San Diego (230.7)WCCH69-37W100%0.0
12-8Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA80-72W100%0.0
12-12Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH67-72L0%0.0
12-17UC Davis (244.0)BWH68-57W100%0.0
12-19North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH68-54W100%0.0
12-21Montana (97.3)BSkyA56-59L0%0.0
12-23Oregon St. (184.8)P10A65-73L0%0.0
12-28Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH73-50W100%0.0
1-2Boise St. (202.8)WACH71-68W100%0.0
1-9Hawaii (253.2)WACH78-64W100%0.0
1-11San Jose St. (177.2)WACH80-70W100%0.0
1-14Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA73-81L0%0.0
1-16New Mexico St. (58.1)WACA77-86L0%0.0
1-21Utah St. (24.4)WACH43-69L0%0.0
1-23Nevada (72.9)WACH87-77W100%0.0
1-28Idaho (173.2)WACA59-74L0%0.0
1-30Boise St. (202.8)WACA49-65L0%0.0
2-6Hawaii (253.2)WACA61-51W100%0.0
2-11New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH83-64W100%0.0
2-13Idaho (173.2)WACH59-68L0%0.0
2-17Nevada (72.9)WACA70-74L0%0.0
2-20UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH60-64L0%0.0
2-23Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH79-68W100%0.0
2-27San Jose St. (177.2)WACA45-72L0%0.0
3-1Utah St. (24.4)WACA39-76L0%0.0
3-4Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH66-59W100%0.0
3-11Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACN66-74L0%0.0