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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Fresno St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:135.0
Current RPI:135
Expected SOS:18
Current Record:9-19
Expected Record:9-19
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:1-0
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:176
Expected OOC SOS:122


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-1932.14%135.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fresno St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Texas (116.0)B12A55-53L0%0.0
11-14UC Riverside (338.0)BWA30-39W100%0.0
11-16Pacific (97.0)BWH66-61W100%0.0
11-19Cal Poly (164.0)BWA67-76W100%0.0
11-25Long Beach St. (115.0)BWH61-69L0%0.0
11-28Southern Illinois (192.0)MVCA57-54L0%0.0
12-3Long Beach St. (115.0)BWA59-64W100%0.0
12-9Washington St. (196.0)P12A59-50L0%0.0
12-12Colorado (38.0)P12H43-50L0%0.0
12-15UC Irvine (125.0)BWH51-58L0%0.0
12-22UCLA (26.0)P12A91-78L0%0.0
1-9San Diego St. (30.0)MWCH62-65L0%0.0
1-12New Mexico (2.0)MWCA72-45L0%0.0
1-16Wyoming (75.0)MWCH49-36W100%0.0
1-19Nevada (171.0)MWCH61-68L0%0.0
1-23Boise St. (45.0)MWCA74-67L0%0.0
1-26Colorado St. (18.0)MWCH63-74L0%0.0
1-30Air Force (80.0)MWCA62-50L0%0.0
2-6Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCH64-55W100%0.0
2-9San Diego St. (30.0)MWCA75-53L0%0.0
2-13New Mexico (2.0)MWCH48-54L0%0.0
2-16Wyoming (75.0)MWCA55-51L0%0.0
2-19Nevada (171.0)MWCA64-69W100%0.0
2-23Boise St. (45.0)MWCH63-72L0%0.0
2-27Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA74-67L0%0.0
3-2Air Force (80.0)MWCH56-41W100%0.0
3-9Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCA52-61W100%0.0
3-13Colorado St. (18.0)MWCN67-61L0%0.0