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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Florida St.

Expected RPI:82.0
Current RPI:82
Expected SOS:76
Current Record:19-13
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:59
Expected OOC SOS:229


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH109-62W100%0.0
11-17Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH98-79W100%0.0
11-20Hofstra (54.0)CAAN77-82L0%0.0
11-21DePaul (198.0)BEN67-83W100%0.0
11-23Ohio (81.0)MACN90-81W100%0.0
12-2Iowa (28.0)B10A78-75L0%0.0
12-6VCU (37.0)A10N76-71W100%0.0
12-13Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH75-58W100%0.0
12-16Mississippi St. (154.0)SECH90-66W100%0.0
12-19Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAN64-59W100%0.0
12-21Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthH75-64W100%0.0
12-29Florida (55.0)SECA71-73W100%0.0
1-2Clemson (131.0)ACCA84-75L0%0.0
1-4North Carolina (5.0)ACCH90-106L0%0.0
1-9Miami FL (9.0)ACCA72-59L0%0.0
1-13North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA78-85W100%0.0
1-17Virginia (3.0)ACCH69-62W100%0.0
1-20Louisville (17.0)ACCA84-65L0%0.0
1-23Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCH72-74L0%0.0
1-26Boston College (250.0)ACCA62-72W100%0.0
1-30Clemson (131.0)ACCH76-65W100%0.0
2-1North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCH77-73W100%0.0
2-6Wake Forest (159.0)ACCA71-91W100%0.0
2-11Syracuse (72.0)ACCA85-72L0%0.0
2-14Miami FL (9.0)ACCH65-67L0%0.0
2-17Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCH80-86L0%0.0
2-20Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA83-73L0%0.0
2-25Duke (20.0)ACCA80-65L0%0.0
2-27Notre Dame (31.0)ACCH77-56W100%0.0
3-5Syracuse (72.0)ACCH78-73W100%0.0
3-8Boston College (250.0)ACCN88-66W100%0.0
3-9Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCN96-85L0%0.0