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Tweet Through games of Mar 15, 2015.

Florida St.

Expected RPI:110.0
Current RPI:110
Expected SOS:63
Current Record:17-16
Expected Record:17-16
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-1
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:192
Expected OOC SOS:216


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Manhattan (168.0)MAACH81-66W100%0.0
11-18Northeastern (85.6)CAAH73-76L0%0.0
11-22Providence (22.0)BEN80-54L0%0.0
11-23Massachusetts (80.6)A10N75-69L0%0.0
11-25The Citadel (327.0)SCH66-55W100%0.0
11-28Charleston Southern (164.4)BSthH58-47W100%0.0
12-1Nebraska (158.0)B10H65-70L0%0.0
12-6UCF (257.0)AmerH96-73W100%0.0
12-13Notre Dame (16.0)ACCA83-63L0%0.0
12-17North Florida (162.0)ASunH93-77W100%0.0
12-20South Florida (274.0)AmerN62-75W100%0.0
12-22Stetson (335.0)ASunH63-59W100%0.0
12-30Florida (72.0)SECH65-63W100%0.0
1-2Mississippi St. (216.0)SECA62-55L0%0.0
1-6Virginia Tech (228.0)ACCH86-75W100%0.0
1-11Syracuse (69.0)ACCA70-57L0%0.0
1-14Pittsburgh (76.0)ACCA73-64L0%0.0
1-17North Carolina St. (39.0)ACCH63-72L0%0.0
1-19Clemson (106.0)ACCA55-59W100%0.0
1-24North Carolina (11.6)ACCA78-74L0%0.0
1-28Wake Forest (150.0)ACCH82-76W100%0.0
2-1Miami FL (65.0)ACCH55-54W100%0.0
2-4Clemson (106.0)ACCH56-62L0%0.0
2-7Virginia Tech (228.0)ACCA65-73W100%0.0
2-9Duke (6.0)ACCH70-73L0%0.0
2-14Georgia Tech (153.7)ACCA53-57W100%0.0
2-18Boston College (165.7)ACCH69-60W100%0.0
2-22Virginia (7.0)ACCA51-41L0%0.0
2-25Miami FL (65.0)ACCA81-77L0%0.0
2-28Louisville (21.0)ACCH59-81L0%0.0
3-7Pittsburgh (76.0)ACCH61-52W100%0.0
3-11Clemson (106.0)ACCN73-76W100%0.0
3-12Virginia (7.0)ACCN58-44L0%0.0