live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Florida St.

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:85.0
Current RPI:85
Expected SOS:36
Current Record:18-15
Expected Record:18-15
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-1
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:146
Expected OOC SOS:136


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1554.55%85.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9South Alabama (154.0)SBH71-76L0%0.0
11-12Buffalo (215.0)MACH95-68W100%0.0
11-16Brigham Young (69.0)WCCN88-70W100%0.0
11-17Saint Joseph's (82.0)A10N66-73W100%0.0
11-21North Florida (230.0)ASunH75-67W100%0.0
11-27Minnesota (34.0)B10H68-77L0%0.0
12-2Mercer (137.0)ASunH56-61L0%0.0
12-5Florida (7.0)SECH47-72L0%0.0
12-9Maine (267.0)AEH91-59W100%0.0
12-17Louisiana Monroe (305.0)SBH63-48W100%0.0
12-22Charlotte (68.0)A10A76-79W100%0.0
12-29Tulsa (127.0)CUSAH82-63W100%0.0
1-2Auburn (252.0)SECA78-72L0%0.0
1-5Clemson (185.0)ACCA66-71W100%0.0
1-9Maryland (73.0)ACCA62-65W100%0.0
1-12North Carolina (17.0)ACCH72-77L0%0.0
1-19Virginia (76.0)ACCA56-36L0%0.0
1-24Clemson (185.0)ACCH60-57W100%0.0
1-27Miami FL (4.0)ACCA71-47L0%0.0
1-30Maryland (73.0)ACCH73-71W100%0.0
2-2Duke (1.0)ACCH60-79L0%0.0
2-5Georgia Tech (149.0)ACCA54-56W100%0.0
2-9Wake Forest (170.0)ACCA71-46L0%0.0
2-13Miami FL (4.0)ACCH68-74L0%0.0
2-16Boston College (113.0)ACCH69-66W100%0.0
2-19North Carolina St. (33.0)ACCA84-66L0%0.0
2-24Virginia Tech (177.0)ACCA80-70L0%0.0
2-26Wake Forest (170.0)ACCH76-62W100%0.0
3-3North Carolina (17.0)ACCA79-58L0%0.0
3-7Virginia (76.0)ACCH53-51W100%0.0
3-9North Carolina St. (33.0)ACCH71-67W100%0.0
3-14Clemson (185.0)ACCN73-69W100%0.0
3-15North Carolina (17.0)ACCN83-62L0%0.0