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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Florida St.

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:11.0
Current RPI:11
Expected SOS:4
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-1
Current OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC RPI:71
Expected OOC SOS:27


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-972.73%11.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Jacksonville (264.0)ASunH79-67W100%0.0
11-14Central Florida (54.0)CUSAH73-50W100%0.0
11-16Stetson (267.0)ASunH79-66W100%0.0
11-20South Alabama (169.0)SBH80-39W100%0.0
11-24Massachusetts (76.0)A10N53-73W100%0.0
11-25Harvard (35.0)IvyN41-46L0%0.0
11-26Connecticut (32.0)BEN78-76L0%0.0
11-30Michigan St. (4.0)B10A65-49L0%0.0
12-5Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthH76-51W100%0.0
12-11NC Greensboro (231.0)SCH75-60W100%0.0
12-18Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCH77-61W100%0.0
12-22Florida (30.0)SECA82-64L0%0.0
12-30Princeton (87.0)IvyH73-75L0%0.0
1-4Auburn (145.0)SECH85-56W100%0.0
1-7Clemson (151.0)ACCA79-59L0%0.0
1-10Virginia Tech (116.0)ACCA59-63W100%0.0
1-14North Carolina (3.0)ACCH90-57W100%0.0
1-17Maryland (105.0)ACCH84-70W100%0.0
1-21Duke (5.0)ACCA73-76W100%0.0
1-25Wake Forest (183.0)ACCA52-75W100%0.0
2-1Georgia Tech (197.0)ACCH68-54W100%0.0
2-4Virginia (53.0)ACCH58-55W100%0.0
2-8Boston College (244.0)ACCA64-60L0%0.0
2-11Miami FL (60.0)ACCH64-59W100%0.0
2-16Virginia Tech (116.0)ACCH48-47W100%0.0
2-18North Carolina St. (49.0)ACCA62-76W100%0.0
2-23Duke (5.0)ACCH66-74L0%0.0
2-26Miami FL (60.0)ACCA78-62L0%0.0
3-1Virginia (53.0)ACCA60-63W100%0.0
3-4Clemson (151.0)ACCH80-72W100%0.0
3-9Miami FL (60.0)ACCN82-71W100%0.0
3-10Duke (5.0)ACCN59-62W100%0.0
3-11North Carolina (3.0)ACCN82-85W100%0.0