Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Florida International   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Florida International

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:296.0
Current RPI:296
Expected SOS:191
Current Record:6-25
Expected Record:6-25
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-10
Current OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC RPI:289
Expected OOC SOS:214


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2519.35%296.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida International.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9North Carolina (94.1)ACCA72-88L0%0.0
11-13Monmouth (288.9)NECA70-99L0%0.0
11-15Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA49-81L0%0.0
11-20North Carolina Central (347.0)indH83-73W100%0.0
11-22James Madison (241.9)CAAH68-81L0%0.0
11-23Murray St. (54.4)OVCH71-84L0%0.0
11-28Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA67-81L0%0.0
11-30Bowling Green (188.3)MACA62-67L0%0.0
12-3Florida A&M (319.6)MEACA61-56W100%0.0
12-6Florida St. (41.5)ACCA62-82L0%0.0
12-12Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunA64-81L0%0.0
12-17Denver (164.4)SBA53-59L0%0.0
12-20North Texas (103.0)SBA80-70W100%0.0
12-22Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndA63-93L0%0.0
12-31South Alabama (209.4)SBH59-71L0%0.0
1-2New Orleans (323.2)SBA58-68L0%0.0
1-7Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBH62-56W100%0.0
1-9Troy (109.6)SBH68-84L0%0.0
1-14Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA65-58W100%0.0
1-16Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA64-81L0%0.0
1-21Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH61-76L0%0.0
1-23Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBH96-81W100%0.0
1-30Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA88-106L0%0.0
2-4Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBA63-83L0%0.0
2-6North Texas (103.0)SBH66-68L0%0.0
2-11South Alabama (209.4)SBA65-69L0%0.0
2-13Troy (109.6)SBA78-81L0%0.0
2-18Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH74-77L0%0.0
2-25Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBH71-74L0%0.0
2-27Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH61-88L0%0.0
3-6Denver (164.4)SBN64-71L0%0.0