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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Florida Gulf Coast

Expected RPI:209.0
Current RPI:209
Expected SOS:278
Current Record:16-13
Expected Record:16-13
Current Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-5
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:203
Expected OOC SOS:139


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida Gulf Coast.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Ohio (81.0)MACA85-75L0%0.0
11-21Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH104-101W100%0.0
11-22North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH73-60W100%0.0
11-23Bowling Green (200.0)MACH77-82L0%0.0
11-27Florida (55.0)SECA70-50L0%0.0
12-2Texas A&M (18.0)SECA75-65L0%0.0
12-6FIU (270.0)CUSAA76-84W100%0.0
12-13Massachusetts (171.0)A10H77-76W100%0.0
12-19South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH52-56L0%0.0
12-22Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH63-66L0%0.0
12-28South Dakota (197.0)SumA89-81L0%0.0
12-31La Salle (232.0)A10H86-77W100%0.0
1-9Stetson (303.0)ASunH82-53W100%0.0
1-14NJIT (207.0)ASunH82-78W100%0.0
1-16USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH85-56W100%0.0
1-21Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA74-79W100%0.0
1-24Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA91-75L0%0.0
1-27Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH69-78L0%0.0
1-30North Florida (161.0)ASunA82-76L0%0.0
2-1Jacksonville (289.0)ASunA83-80L0%0.0
2-6North Florida (161.0)ASunH81-65W100%0.0
2-11USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA64-71W100%0.0
2-13NJIT (207.0)ASunA68-59L0%0.0
2-18Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH82-67W100%0.0
2-20Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH68-63W100%0.0
2-25Stetson (303.0)ASunA80-73L0%0.0
3-1Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH74-64W100%0.0
3-3North Florida (161.0)ASunA56-89W100%0.0
3-6Stetson (303.0)ASunH80-78W100%0.0