Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Florida Gulf Coast   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Florida Gulf Coast

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:321.3
Current RPI:321
Expected SOS:318
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-13
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:306
Expected OOC SOS:337


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2127.59%321.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida Gulf Coast.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Michigan St. (29.5)B10A58-97L0%0.0
11-19Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACA54-69L0%0.0
11-21Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA62-79L0%0.0
11-25Miami FL (95.7)ACCA58-77L0%0.0
12-1Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACH59-67L0%0.0
12-5Longwood (285.8)indA75-82L0%0.0
12-12Florida International (296.0)SBH81-64W100%0.0
12-14South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA86-82W100%0.0
12-16North Carolina Central (347.0)indA76-67W100%0.0
12-22DePaul (212.2)BEH64-61W100%0.0
12-29Stetson (326.9)ASunA64-72L0%0.0
1-2Belmont (136.8)ASunA66-63W100%0.0
1-4Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA79-89L0%0.0
1-8North Florida (236.1)ASunH56-62L0%0.0
1-10Jacksonville (142.7)ASunH58-82L0%0.0
1-14Campbell (183.2)ASunA45-61L0%0.0
1-16East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA51-73L0%0.0
1-22Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH68-69L0%0.0
1-24Mercer (220.1)ASunH71-70W100%0.0
1-27Stetson (326.9)ASunH64-53W100%0.0
1-30Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA70-77L0%0.0
2-1Mercer (220.1)ASunA72-78L0%0.0
2-4East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH47-56L0%0.0
2-6Campbell (183.2)ASunH52-64L0%0.0
2-11Jacksonville (142.7)ASunA62-68L0%0.0
2-13North Florida (236.1)ASunA65-68L0%0.0
2-18Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH75-93L0%0.0
2-20Belmont (136.8)ASunH85-80W100%0.0
2-25South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH52-59L0%0.0