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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Florida Atlantic

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:207.0
Current RPI:207
Expected SOS:135
Current Record:10-19
Expected Record:10-19
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-5
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:146
Expected OOC SOS:23


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1934.48%207.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida Atlantic.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Portland (238.0)WCCN70-65L0%0.0
11-13Washington (71.0)P12A77-71L0%0.0
11-14Georgia St. (141.0)CAAN77-84W100%0.0
11-16American (142.0)PatA62-56L0%0.0
11-19George Mason (82.0)CAAH80-75W100%0.0
11-22Hofstra (263.0)CAAA60-62W100%0.0
11-26South Florida (52.0)BEA68-55L0%0.0
11-30Kansas (6.0)B12A77-54L0%0.0
12-13Mississippi St. (75.0)SECA75-68L0%0.0
12-17Miami FL (60.0)ACCN93-90L0%0.0
12-22Harvard (35.0)IvyA63-51L0%0.0
12-28Siena (218.0)MAACH60-67L0%0.0
12-31Louisiana Lafayette (185.0)SBA67-55L0%0.0
1-5Louisiana Monroe (317.0)SBH58-30W100%0.0
1-7Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA40-38L0%0.0
1-9Arkansas St. (222.0)SBA50-58W100%0.0
1-14Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBH54-67L0%0.0
1-19Troy (260.0)SBA67-88W100%0.0
1-21Florida International (251.0)SBA64-66W100%0.0
1-26Western Kentucky (189.0)SBH67-66W100%0.0
2-2South Alabama (169.0)SBA65-56L0%0.0
2-4Florida International (251.0)SBH56-76L0%0.0
2-9Denver (94.0)SBH72-71W100%0.0
2-11North Texas (200.0)SBH86-81W100%0.0
2-16Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA64-57L0%0.0
2-18Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBA72-59L0%0.0
2-23South Alabama (169.0)SBH76-79L0%0.0
2-25Troy (260.0)SBH82-83L0%0.0
3-3Arkansas St. (222.0)SBN55-70L0%0.0