- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Florida Atlantic

Expected RPI:300.0
Current RPI:300
Expected SOS:199
Current Record:7-24
Expected Record:7-24
Current Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-11
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:302
Expected OOC SOS:164


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida Atlantic.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Michigan St. (12.0)B10A82-55L0%0.0
11-20Northeastern (109.0)CAAN60-58L0%0.0
11-21Miami OH (195.0)MACA69-75W100%0.0
11-22Lipscomb (269.0)ASunN65-79L0%0.0
12-1East Carolina (217.0)AmerA74-48L0%0.0
12-12UCF (219.0)AmerA75-61L0%0.0
12-15Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA80-73L0%0.0
12-16Tennessee (143.0)SECA81-62L0%0.0
12-19Florida St. (82.0)ACCN64-59L0%0.0
12-22Hofstra (54.0)CAAA68-54L0%0.0
12-29Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH48-57L0%0.0
1-3FIU (270.0)CUSAA76-59L0%0.0
1-7Marshall (128.0)CUSAA90-67L0%0.0
1-9Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA86-82L0%0.0
1-14Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH58-51W100%0.0
1-16Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH63-61W100%0.0
1-21UTEP (215.0)CUSAA71-56L0%0.0
1-23UTSA (347.0)CUSAA71-86W100%0.0
1-28Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH66-78L0%0.0
1-30Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH82-77W100%0.0
2-4Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA85-73L0%0.0
2-6UAB (88.0)CUSAA104-67L0%0.0
2-11UTSA (347.0)CUSAH79-73W100%0.0
2-13UTEP (215.0)CUSAH82-89L0%0.0
2-18Rice (279.0)CUSAA90-85L0%0.0
2-20North Texas (295.0)CUSAA70-62L0%0.0
2-27FIU (270.0)CUSAH63-71L0%0.0
3-3Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH59-76L0%0.0
3-5UAB (88.0)CUSAH70-73L0%0.0
3-8UTSA (347.0)CUSAN82-58W100%0.0
3-9Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAN72-46L0%0.0