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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Florida A&M

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:323.5
Current RPI:328
Expected SOS:327
Current Record:5-17
Expected Record:7-22
Current Conf Record:5-5
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.19%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-12
Current OOC Record:0-12
Expected OOC Record:0-12
Expected OOC RPI:340
Expected OOC SOS:247


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1841.94%266.50.02%
13-1940.62%270.80.04%
12-1840.00%283.00.03%
12-1938.71%285.20.08%
11-1837.93%291.00.02%
12-2037.50%273.40.20%
11-1936.67%294.50.33%
11-2035.48%290.70.39%
10-1934.48%303.30.45%
11-2134.38%287.90.38%
10-2033.33%301.12.03%
10-2132.26%299.90.80%
10-2231.25%296.20.33%
9-2031.03%311.13.70%
9-2130.00%308.56.35%
9-2229.03%307.11.05%
9-2328.12%305.70.25%
8-2127.59%320.114.40%
8-2226.67%316.89.08%
8-2325.81%316.71.18%
8-2425.00%313.20.04%
7-2224.14%327.723.15%
7-2323.33%325.37.23%
7-2422.58%324.90.32%
6-2320.69%333.619.37%
6-2420.00%332.72.10%
5-2417.24%337.76.67%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida A&M.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Georgia Tech (172.1)ACCA92-59L0%0.0
11-14Stetson (263.0)ASunH60-78L0%0.0
11-19Providence (160.2)BEA87-65L0%0.0
11-22Rice (180.2)CUSAA75-59L0%0.0
11-25Southern (280.2)SWACN64-61L0%0.0
11-26Western Carolina (257.4)SCN46-62L0%0.0
12-3Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACA74-59L0%0.0
12-11South Florida (103.2)BEA83-59L0%0.0
12-17Akron (44.8)MACA91-69L0%0.0
12-19Auburn (159.9)SECA76-69L0%0.0
12-21North Florida (177.6)ASunH63-90L0%0.0
1-1Princeton (123.2)IvyH61-76L0%0.0
1-4Ball St. (218.9)MACA70-55L0%0.0
1-7North Carolina Central (212.0)MEACA60-62W100%0.0
1-9North Carolina A&T (269.1)MEACA85-82L0%0.0
1-14Savannah St. (193.5)MEACH58-69L0%0.0
1-16South Carolina St. (335.7)MEACH86-69W100%0.0
1-21Maryland Eastern Shore (319.8)MEACA63-68W100%0.0
1-23Delaware St. (264.8)MEACA65-51L0%0.0
1-28Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACH68-62W100%0.0
2-4North Carolina Central (212.0)MEACH61-78L0%0.0
2-6North Carolina A&T (269.1)MEACH87-77W100%0.0
2-11Howard (300.1)MEACA0-033%-4.7
2-18Savannah St. (193.5)MEACA0-010%-14.2
2-20South Carolina St. (335.7)MEACA0-048%-0.4
2-25Hampton (305.5)MEACH0-045%-1.5
2-27Norfolk St. (123.5)MEACH0-021%-8.8
3-1Morgan St. (267.3)MEACH0-033%-4.7