live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Fairleigh Dickinson

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:330.0
Current RPI:330
Expected SOS:227
Current Record:3-26
Expected Record:3-26
Current Conf Record:2-16
Expected Conf Record:2-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-12
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:329
Expected OOC SOS:207


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
3-2610.34%330.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fairleigh Dickinson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Providence (156.0)BEA72-61L0%0.0
11-15Lehigh (91.0)PatH61-72L0%0.0
11-18St. Peter's (305.0)MAACH73-62W100%0.0
11-22Lafayette (195.0)PatA85-74L0%0.0
11-27Albany (215.0)AEA81-62L0%0.0
12-1Robert Morris (99.0)NECA66-54L0%0.0
12-3St. Francis PA (312.0)NECA73-69L0%0.0
12-7Stony Brook (152.0)AEA70-46L0%0.0
12-10Louisville (13.0)BEA80-58L0%0.0
12-21Vermont (134.0)AEH53-71L0%0.0
12-28NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCA66-53L0%0.0
1-2Columbia (186.0)IvyA67-52L0%0.0
1-5Wagner (93.0)NECH64-88L0%0.0
1-7Mount St. Mary's (292.0)NECH45-66L0%0.0
1-12Long Island (80.0)NECA82-64L0%0.0
1-14St. Francis NY (210.0)NECA62-51L0%0.0
1-16Longwood (332.0)indH83-87L0%0.0
1-19Robert Morris (99.0)NECH55-67L0%0.0
1-21St. Francis PA (312.0)NECH63-69L0%0.0
1-26Bryant (340.0)NECA63-66W100%0.0
1-28Central Connecticut (227.0)NECA69-62L0%0.0
2-2Quinnipiac (155.0)NECH48-65L0%0.0
2-4Sacred Heart (237.0)NECH57-66L0%0.0
2-8Monmouth (236.0)NECH62-75L0%0.0
2-11Monmouth (236.0)NECA82-68L0%0.0
2-16Mount St. Mary's (292.0)NECA77-63L0%0.0
2-18Wagner (93.0)NECA90-70L0%0.0
2-23Long Island (80.0)NECH80-91L0%0.0
2-25St. Francis NY (210.0)NECH45-44W100%0.0