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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Fairleigh Dickinson

Expected RPI:205.0
Current RPI:205
Expected SOS:298
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-9
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:221
Expected OOC SOS:173


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fairleigh Dickinson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Villanova (4.0)BEA91-54L0%0.0
11-18Army (214.0)PatH85-96L0%0.0
11-21Fordham (176.0)A10A85-62L0%0.0
11-24Delaware (274.0)CAAA73-72L0%0.0
11-28Saint Peter's (208.0)MAACH77-62W100%0.0
11-30Princeton (39.0)IvyA91-61L0%0.0
12-2Temple (60.0)AmerA79-70L0%0.0
12-9Lafayette (329.0)PatA89-91W100%0.0
12-18Towson (150.0)CAAH69-68W100%0.0
12-23Rutgers (294.0)B10A72-64L0%0.0
1-2St. Francis NY (276.0)NECH86-77W100%0.0
1-4Bryant (320.0)NECH80-85L0%0.0
1-7Sacred Heart (258.0)NECA68-80W100%0.0
1-9Central Connecticut (351.0)NECH92-73W100%0.0
1-14St. Francis PA (266.0)NECA59-71W100%0.0
1-16Robert Morris (291.0)NECA64-58L0%0.0
1-21LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECH101-95W100%0.0
1-24Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH72-87L0%0.0
1-28St. Francis PA (266.0)NECH86-82W100%0.0
1-30LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECA85-88W100%0.0
2-4Wagner (185.0)NECA79-82W100%0.0
2-6St. Francis NY (276.0)NECA85-71L0%0.0
2-11Bryant (320.0)NECA77-91W100%0.0
2-13Robert Morris (291.0)NECH70-72L0%0.0
2-18Wagner (185.0)NECH74-94L0%0.0
2-20Sacred Heart (258.0)NECH86-91L0%0.0
2-25Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECA54-67W100%0.0
2-27Central Connecticut (351.0)NECA75-81W100%0.0
3-2St. Francis PA (266.0)NECH74-72W100%0.0
3-5Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH80-75W100%0.0
3-8Wagner (185.0)NECA79-87W100%0.0