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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Eastern Washington

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:207.3
Current RPI:228
Expected SOS:241
Current Record:9-13
Expected Record:13-16
Current Conf Record:5-6
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:3.41%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-6
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:152
Expected OOC SOS:181


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1358.06%122.80.08%
17-1454.84%137.00.78%
16-1453.33%170.21.18%
15-1451.72%190.90.38%
16-1551.61%152.32.76%
15-1550.00%184.78.00%
15-1648.39%166.14.14%
14-1548.28%202.82.99%
14-1646.67%197.317.86%
14-1745.16%177.82.92%
13-1644.83%214.98.65%
13-1743.33%207.916.18%
12-1642.86%220.01.66%
13-1841.94%190.10.97%
12-1741.38%228.311.55%
12-1840.00%218.25.94%
11-1739.29%236.63.98%
12-1938.71%202.00.07%
11-1837.93%243.06.08%
11-1936.67%232.00.49%
10-1835.71%252.92.35%
10-1934.48%260.20.66%
9-1932.14%269.40.32%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Washington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Gonzaga (29.8)WCCA77-69L0%0.0
11-15South Dakota (283.1)SumH70-61W100%0.0
11-17Oregon (92.4)P12A73-65L0%0.0
11-22Hawaii (185.9)WACA72-89W100%0.0
11-27UC Davis (342.3)BWH79-59W100%0.0
11-30Idaho (164.8)WACA66-73W100%0.0
12-3Washington St. (168.5)P12A75-49L0%0.0
12-11Cal St. Fullerton (159.2)BWA91-76L0%0.0
12-14UCLA (106.8)P12A60-47L0%0.0
12-20St. Mary's (16.6)WCCA77-61L0%0.0
12-28Montana St. (262.2)BSkyA66-82W100%0.0
12-30Montana (96.9)BSkyA79-71L0%0.0
1-5Weber St. (78.7)BSkyH69-76L0%0.0
1-7Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyH76-59W100%0.0
1-12Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyA60-65W100%0.0
1-14Northern Colorado (253.4)BSkyA71-70L0%0.0
1-16Seattle (291.5)indA91-78L0%0.0
1-21Portland St. (206.9)BSkyH76-78L0%0.0
1-26Montana (96.9)BSkyH60-74L0%0.0
1-28Montana St. (262.2)BSkyH69-52W100%0.0
2-2Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyA68-74W100%0.0
2-4Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyH71-75L0%0.0
2-11Weber St. (78.7)BSkyA0-023%-8.0
2-15Northern Colorado (253.4)BSkyH0-074%7.0
2-18UC Irvine (259.2)BWA0-050%0.1
2-23Idaho St. (266.1)BSkyA0-066%4.4
2-25Portland St. (206.9)BSkyA0-043%-2.0
2-28Idaho St. (266.1)BSkyH0-084%10.9