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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Eastern Michigan

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:253.1
Current RPI:229
Expected SOS:250
Current Record:9-13
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:5-4
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.04%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-7
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC RPI:264
Expected OOC SOS:254


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1554.55%142.00.01%
17-1553.12%162.00.02%
16-1551.61%189.00.01%
17-1651.52%169.70.03%
17-1750.00%182.00.02%
16-1650.00%191.70.20%
16-1748.48%192.70.25%
15-1648.39%202.00.44%
16-1847.06%191.70.12%
15-1746.88%215.51.89%
15-1845.45%209.80.80%
14-1745.16%219.71.75%
15-1944.12%198.60.21%
14-1843.75%230.17.48%
14-1942.42%223.31.34%
13-1841.94%238.85.98%
14-2041.18%208.70.11%
13-1940.62%241.712.64%
13-2039.39%232.30.91%
12-1938.71%254.414.96%
13-2138.24%221.40.05%
12-2037.50%253.211.64%
12-2136.36%244.30.44%
11-2035.48%267.419.91%
12-2235.29%235.00.01%
11-2134.38%260.44.02%
11-2233.33%242.80.04%
10-2132.26%277.912.78%
10-2231.25%266.90.38%
9-2229.03%285.91.55%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzH68-57W100%0.0
11-15Texas Southern (228.4)SWACA66-49L0%0.0
11-18Arkansas Little Rock (187.9)SBH62-51W100%0.0
11-20IUPUI (246.0)SumA64-66W100%0.0
11-27Michigan St. (9.7)B10H40-72L0%0.0
11-29Syracuse (3.4)BEA84-48L0%0.0
12-1Colgate (294.4)PatA74-70L0%0.0
12-8Drake (143.0)MVCA66-53L0%0.0
12-10Purdue (69.2)B10A61-36L0%0.0
12-20Radford (335.2)BSthA48-52W100%0.0
12-22Virginia Tech (95.1)ACCA71-50L0%0.0
12-29Santa Clara (275.1)WCCA75-55L0%0.0
12-30Air Force (181.8)MWCN37-42L0%0.0
1-7Northern Illinois (337.7)MACA40-47W100%0.0
1-11Central Michigan (271.5)MACH56-60L0%0.0
1-14Ball St. (218.9)MACA48-51W100%0.0
1-18Western Michigan (182.0)MACH62-59W100%0.0
1-21Toledo (273.3)MACH41-38W100%0.0
1-24Buffalo (65.6)MACA65-47L0%0.0
1-28Bowling Green (155.4)MACH55-50W100%0.0
2-1Miami OH (208.4)MACA62-57L0%0.0
2-4Akron (44.8)MACA77-47L0%0.0
2-8Kent St. (82.5)MACH0-019%-9.5
2-11Ohio (61.7)MACH0-016%-11.0
2-14Central Michigan (271.5)MACA0-030%-5.7
2-18Wisconsin Green Bay (187.9)HorzA0-019%-9.4
2-22Northern Illinois (337.7)MACH0-087%12.2
2-25Ball St. (218.9)MACH0-034%-4.5
2-29Western Michigan (182.0)MACA0-019%-9.5
3-3Toledo (273.3)MACA0-027%-6.5