Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Eastern Michigan   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Eastern Michigan

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:201.8
Current RPI:202
Expected SOS:239
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-3
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:195
Expected OOC SOS:260


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1550.00%201.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Oakland (51.7)SumA81-77W100%0.0
11-20The Citadel (198.5)SCN56-63L0%0.0
11-21Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACN76-51W100%0.0
11-22Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA61-75L0%0.0
11-24Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA86-76W100%0.0
11-30Canisius (205.0)MAACH75-58W100%0.0
12-5Ohio St. (25.9)B10A60-111L0%0.0
12-12James Madison (241.9)CAAH75-64W100%0.0
12-19Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA65-66L0%0.0
12-22Samford (262.1)SCH56-58L0%0.0
1-3Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH59-47W100%0.0
1-9Western Michigan (149.7)MACA47-61L0%0.0
1-13Toledo (324.5)MACH74-59W100%0.0
1-16Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA69-77L0%0.0
1-20Central Michigan (195.1)MACA63-71L0%0.0
1-23Ball St. (218.5)MACH57-53W100%0.0
1-27Bowling Green (188.3)MACH61-64L0%0.0
1-30Miami OH (145.1)MACA51-61L0%0.0
2-1Akron (84.2)MACA62-59W100%0.0
2-4Kent St. (46.7)MACH68-75L0%0.0
2-6Ohio (99.9)MACH70-61W100%0.0
2-10Buffalo (108.3)MACA67-84L0%0.0
2-14Western Michigan (149.7)MACH66-52W100%0.0
2-17Toledo (324.5)MACA58-42W100%0.0
2-20Detroit (167.4)HorzA66-68L0%0.0
2-24Ball St. (218.5)MACA72-67W100%0.0
2-27Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH66-60W100%0.0
3-4Central Michigan (195.1)MACH55-56L0%0.0
3-7Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH65-59W100%0.0
3-11Akron (84.2)MACN89-97L0%0.0