Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Eastern Kentucky   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Eastern Kentucky

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:154.1
Current RPI:155
Expected SOS:227
Current Record:18-12
Expected Record:18-12
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-2
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:110
Expected OOC SOS:169


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1260.00%154.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Kentucky.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-19Pittsburgh (16.5)BEA60-71L0%0.0
11-23Fairleigh Dickinson (271.3)NECH68-39W100%0.0
11-24UC Irvine (276.2)BWH67-57W100%0.0
11-25Texas San Antonio (187.2)SlndH74-72W100%0.0
11-28Florida International (296.0)SBH81-67W100%0.0
12-3Murray St. (55.8)OVCA60-62L0%0.0
12-5Tennessee Martin (338.5)OVCA85-74W100%0.0
12-12Maryland (17.9)ACCA72-83L0%0.0
12-19Ohio (106.4)MACA62-74L0%0.0
12-29Morgan St. (104.0)MEACN76-62W100%0.0
12-30Chattanooga (238.1)SCA54-68L0%0.0
1-2Tennessee St. (259.8)OVCH79-71W100%0.0
1-4Austin Peay (163.8)OVCH76-71W100%0.0
1-7Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCA65-68L0%0.0
1-9Tennessee Tech (196.8)OVCA78-73W100%0.0
1-14Eastern Illinois (169.2)OVCH67-59W100%0.0
1-16Southeast Missouri St. (312.6)OVCH79-63W100%0.0
1-19Chicago St. (344.4)GWCH74-50W100%0.0
1-23Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH53-69L0%0.0
1-28Austin Peay (163.8)OVCA76-80L0%0.0
1-31Tennessee St. (259.8)OVCA75-58W100%0.0
2-4Tennessee Tech (196.8)OVCH76-58W100%0.0
2-6Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCH66-65W100%0.0
2-11Southeast Missouri St. (312.6)OVCA59-56W100%0.0
2-13Eastern Illinois (169.2)OVCA54-77L0%0.0
2-17Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA64-77L0%0.0
2-20Winthrop (160.7)BSthH77-57W100%0.0
2-25Tennessee Martin (338.5)OVCH84-60W100%0.0
2-27Murray St. (55.8)OVCH74-88L0%0.0
3-2Eastern Illinois (169.2)OVCA61-68L0%0.0