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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Eastern Kentucky

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:206.1
Current RPI:194
Expected SOS:284
Current Record:12-12
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:6-6
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.22%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-5
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:189
Expected OOC SOS:281


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1262.50%110.00.07%
19-1261.29%125.70.11%
20-1360.61%108.70.19%
19-1359.38%131.70.55%
18-1358.06%156.21.75%
19-1457.58%128.50.71%
17-1356.67%184.72.74%
18-1456.25%153.53.16%
17-1454.84%179.08.75%
18-1554.55%149.51.80%
16-1453.33%203.814.40%
17-1553.12%178.54.96%
15-1451.72%214.40.08%
16-1551.61%201.410.76%
17-1651.52%170.71.02%
16-1650.00%197.32.86%
15-1550.00%221.920.69%
16-1748.48%186.10.10%
15-1648.39%220.25.56%
14-1548.28%228.71.48%
15-1746.88%211.70.73%
14-1646.67%238.011.81%
14-1745.16%236.21.18%
13-1644.83%244.71.50%
14-1843.75%219.40.05%
13-1743.33%253.42.27%
13-1841.94%251.00.05%
12-1741.38%261.80.49%
12-1840.00%266.50.17%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Kentucky.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-7Mississippi St. (48.3)SECA76-66L0%0.0
11-12Winthrop (265.9)BSthA59-71W100%0.0
11-14Presbyterian (251.9)BSthA78-50L0%0.0
11-18Liberty (306.4)BSthA65-73W100%0.0
11-19William & Mary (305.0)CAAN44-63W100%0.0
11-20Lehigh (108.9)PatN76-51L0%0.0
11-27Norfolk St. (123.5)MEACA70-63L0%0.0
11-29Delaware St. (264.8)MEACA57-43L0%0.0
12-6North Carolina Central (212.0)MEACH75-62W100%0.0
12-10Georgia Southern (215.2)SCH63-59W100%0.0
12-17Jacksonville St. (247.7)OVCA53-59W100%0.0
12-20Arkansas (71.4)SECA71-57L0%0.0
12-29Austin Peay (197.8)OVCH67-65W100%0.0
12-31Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCH73-68W100%0.0
1-4Murray St. (26.6)OVCA76-67L0%0.0
1-7Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCH63-59W100%0.0
1-12Austin Peay (197.8)OVCA80-65L0%0.0
1-14Morehead St. (185.5)OVCA57-54L0%0.0
1-19Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCH86-78W100%0.0
1-22Longwood (319.3)indH78-71W100%0.0
1-26Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCH65-82L0%0.0
1-28Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCA91-85L0%0.0
2-2Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCA43-47W100%0.0
2-4SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCA80-74L0%0.0
2-11Morehead St. (185.5)OVCH0-058%2.1
2-15Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCA0-022%-8.5
2-18IUPU Fort Wayne (271.7)SumH0-067%4.8
2-23SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCH0-080%9.2
2-25Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCH0-074%7.2