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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Eastern Illinois

Expected RPI:271.0
Current RPI:271
Expected SOS:274
Current Record:11-17
Expected Record:11-17
Current Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-5
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC RPI:331
Expected OOC SOS:245


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Indiana (24.0)B10A88-49L0%0.0
11-16Ball St. (179.0)MACA73-56L0%0.0
11-21Western Illinois (262.0)SumH63-83L0%0.0
11-28Green Bay (112.0)HorzH72-81L0%0.0
12-1Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH68-62W100%0.0
12-5Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH79-73W100%0.0
12-9Marshall (128.0)CUSAA82-76L0%0.0
12-12Western Illinois (262.0)SumA64-57L0%0.0
12-19Houston (87.0)AmerA81-65L0%0.0
12-21Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumN80-68L0%0.0
12-22North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACN57-52L0%0.0
12-31Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA94-84L0%0.0
1-2Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA64-75W100%0.0
1-6Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH61-66L0%0.0
1-9Belmont (98.0)OVCA85-59L0%0.0
1-14Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH97-85W100%0.0
1-16Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH84-82W100%0.0
1-21Murray St. (169.0)OVCA68-58L0%0.0
1-23Austin Peay (184.0)OVCA86-87W100%0.0
1-28Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH82-74W100%0.0
1-30SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA46-60W100%0.0
2-6Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH78-69W100%0.0
2-10Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH70-79L0%0.0
2-13SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH64-72L0%0.0
2-18Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA87-84L0%0.0
2-20Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA68-71W100%0.0
2-25Murray St. (169.0)OVCH85-74W100%0.0
3-2Murray St. (169.0)OVCN78-62L0%0.0