Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Eastern Illinois   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Eastern Illinois

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:170.5
Current RPI:170
Expected SOS:231
Current Record:17-12
Expected Record:17-12
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-1
Current OOC Record:5-4
Expected OOC Record:5-4
Expected OOC RPI:188
Expected OOC SOS:264


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1258.62%170.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Toledo (324.5)MACA72-62W100%0.0
11-18IUPUI (86.1)SumH66-69L0%0.0
11-24Chicago St. (344.3)GWCA82-68W100%0.0
11-28Belmont (136.8)ASunH62-95L0%0.0
12-3Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCA83-81W100%0.0
12-5Austin Peay (162.2)OVCA60-73L0%0.0
12-9Western Michigan (149.7)MACH58-69L0%0.0
12-12Western Illinois (280.0)SumA44-41W100%0.0
12-19Belmont (136.8)ASunA63-60W100%0.0
12-29St. Louis (86.4)A10A42-60L0%0.0
1-2Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCH50-48W100%0.0
1-4Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCH97-93W100%0.0
1-9Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCH88-68W100%0.0
1-11Murray St. (54.4)OVCA59-75L0%0.0
1-14Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA59-67L0%0.0
1-16Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA51-73L0%0.0
1-21Murray St. (54.4)OVCH51-60L0%0.0
1-23Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH60-46W100%0.0
1-28Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA65-75L0%0.0
1-30Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCA55-70L0%0.0
2-6Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA75-49W100%0.0
2-11Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH76-75W100%0.0
2-13Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCH77-54W100%0.0
2-16Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCA83-68W100%0.0
2-20Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH73-70W100%0.0
2-25Austin Peay (162.2)OVCH83-73W100%0.0
2-27Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH66-61W100%0.0
3-2Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCH68-61W100%0.0
3-5Murray St. (54.4)OVCN51-55L0%0.0