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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Eastern Illinois

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:295.0
Current RPI:292
Expected SOS:312
Current Record:7-14
Expected Record:9-18
Current Conf Record:2-9
Expected Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-8
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:249
Expected OOC SOS:333


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%192.00.01%
14-1548.28%243.50.02%
13-1448.15%246.60.05%
14-1646.67%227.20.04%
13-1546.43%248.40.07%
13-1644.83%249.50.04%
12-1544.44%261.21.75%
12-1642.86%268.40.17%
12-1741.38%265.00.07%
11-1640.74%276.311.58%
12-1840.00%246.00.01%
11-1739.29%276.40.17%
10-1737.04%288.828.99%
10-1835.71%286.20.04%
9-1833.33%299.034.46%
8-1929.63%308.418.83%
7-2025.93%317.73.69%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Indiana St. (137.7)MVCA79-72L0%0.0
11-16Loyola Chicago (312.6)HorzH65-61W100%0.0
11-20Northern Illinois (337.7)MACA55-67W100%0.0
11-26Central Arkansas (299.9)SlndA107-96L0%0.0
11-30Maine (262.1)AEH85-80W100%0.0
12-3Stony Brook (132.5)AEH72-69W100%0.0
12-10Western Illinois (180.2)SumA64-48L0%0.0
12-18Northwestern (66.4)B10A87-72L0%0.0
12-21Maine (262.1)AEA64-60L0%0.0
12-30Murray St. (26.6)OVCH40-73L0%0.0
1-4SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCA59-73W100%0.0
1-7Houston Baptist (311.7)GWCA62-74W100%0.0
1-12Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCH68-55W100%0.0
1-14Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCA80-73L0%0.0
1-19Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCH46-55L0%0.0
1-21Austin Peay (197.8)OVCH64-76L0%0.0
1-26Jacksonville St. (247.7)OVCA63-45L0%0.0
1-28Murray St. (26.6)OVCA73-58L0%0.0
1-30Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCH53-74L0%0.0
2-2Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCH43-47L0%0.0
2-4Morehead St. (185.5)OVCH55-56L0%0.0
2-9Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCA0-013%-12.4
2-11Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCA0-051%0.1
2-15SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCH0-069%5.3
2-18Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzH0-053%0.9
2-23Morehead St. (185.5)OVCA0-022%-8.4
2-25Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCA0-026%-7.2