Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  East Tennessee St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

East Tennessee St.

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:119.7
Current RPI:123
Expected SOS:168
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:16-7
Expected Conf Record:16-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-5
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:115
Expected OOC SOS:4


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1457.58%119.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Appalachian St. (98.0)SCH62-58W100%0.0
11-17Chattanooga (237.9)SCA76-85L0%0.0
11-19Morgan St. (105.6)MEACA61-72L0%0.0
11-21Louisville (32.9)BEA56-69L0%0.0
11-25College of Charleston (91.8)SCH77-71W100%0.0
11-27Arkansas (148.5)SECA94-85W100%0.0
11-29North Florida (237.5)ASunH82-56W100%0.0
12-2Tennessee (15.3)SECA66-78L0%0.0
12-4UAB (40.8)CUSAA52-74L0%0.0
12-12Murray St. (56.3)OVCH57-61L0%0.0
12-18Morehead St. (84.7)OVCA58-60L0%0.0
12-21Jacksonville (139.6)ASunH93-70W100%0.0
1-4South Carolina Upstate (307.1)ASunA63-62W100%0.0
1-7Kennesaw St. (284.4)ASunA63-46W100%0.0
1-9Mercer (220.7)ASunA78-83L0%0.0
1-14Stetson (326.4)ASunH52-54L0%0.0
1-16Florida Gulf Coast (320.6)ASunH73-51W100%0.0
1-21Lipscomb (207.2)ASunA71-69W100%0.0
1-23Belmont (134.8)ASunA89-100L0%0.0
1-27Campbell (182.1)ASunH72-57W100%0.0
1-30Lipscomb (207.2)ASunH84-85L0%0.0
2-1Belmont (134.8)ASunH67-74L0%0.0
2-4Florida Gulf Coast (320.6)ASunA56-47W100%0.0
2-6Stetson (326.4)ASunA75-60W100%0.0
2-12Kennesaw St. (284.4)ASunH66-45W100%0.0
2-14Mercer (220.7)ASunH77-82L0%0.0
2-19Campbell (182.1)ASunA57-79L0%0.0
2-21South Carolina Upstate (307.1)ASunH63-56W100%0.0
2-25North Florida (237.5)ASunA61-46W100%0.0
2-27Jacksonville (139.6)ASunA64-62W100%0.0
3-4Campbell (182.1)ASunN72-64W100%0.0
3-5Kennesaw St. (284.4)ASunN69-64W100%0.0
3-6Mercer (220.7)ASunA72-66W100%0.0