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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

East Tennessee St.

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:192.3
Current RPI:196
Expected SOS:276
Current Record:11-11
Expected Record:15-14
Current Conf Record:6-6
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:3.12%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-4
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC RPI:176
Expected OOC SOS:290


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1164.52%106.00.01%
19-1261.29%112.60.71%
18-1260.00%143.20.60%
17-1258.62%170.40.46%
18-1358.06%130.12.76%
17-1356.67%158.17.62%
16-1355.17%187.37.46%
17-1454.84%149.04.40%
16-1453.33%176.416.43%
15-1451.72%204.614.85%
16-1551.61%166.03.14%
15-1550.00%194.110.96%
15-1648.39%184.21.18%
14-1548.28%218.315.84%
14-1646.67%209.21.84%
14-1745.16%194.80.12%
13-1644.83%230.39.44%
13-1743.33%224.00.16%
12-1642.86%246.50.06%
12-1741.38%243.71.81%
12-1840.00%241.50.02%
11-1739.29%268.70.03%
11-1837.93%261.20.09%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Virginia Tech (95.1)ACCA64-53L0%0.0
11-15Appalachian St. (254.2)SCH81-68W100%0.0
11-19Troy (271.6)SBH81-71W100%0.0
11-22Charlotte (143.4)A10A69-70W100%0.0
11-29Troy (271.6)SBA79-71L0%0.0
12-1Stetson (263.0)ASunA73-65L0%0.0
12-3Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunA72-63L0%0.0
12-7Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCA83-74L0%0.0
12-10Appalachian St. (254.2)SCA48-65W100%0.0
12-23Tennessee (140.6)SECA66-63L0%0.0
1-1Clemson (165.8)ACCA65-58L0%0.0
1-4South Carolina Upstate (156.4)ASunH88-73W100%0.0
1-7Mercer (103.9)ASunH76-61W100%0.0
1-9Kennesaw St. (320.2)ASunH73-69W100%0.0
1-14Jacksonville (282.9)ASunA58-72W100%0.0
1-16North Florida (177.6)ASunA63-64W100%0.0
1-21Lipscomb (209.3)ASunH65-73L0%0.0
1-23Belmont (53.1)ASunH70-82L0%0.0
1-27South Carolina Upstate (156.4)ASunA58-54L0%0.0
1-30James Madison (249.9)CAAH70-56W100%0.0
2-4Kennesaw St. (320.2)ASunA59-64W100%0.0
2-6Mercer (103.9)ASunA54-46L0%0.0
2-11North Florida (177.6)ASunH0-069%5.5
2-13Jacksonville (282.9)ASunH0-082%10.0
2-18Belmont (53.1)ASunA0-09%-14.8
2-20Lipscomb (209.3)ASunA0-049%-0.2
2-23Stetson (263.0)ASunH0-080%9.2
2-25Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunH0-068%5.0