- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

East Carolina

Expected RPI:217.0
Current RPI:217
Expected SOS:118
Current Record:12-20
Expected Record:12-20
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-5
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:142
Expected OOC SOS:205


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Carolina.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH61-53W100%0.0
11-16Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH88-74W100%0.0
11-20California (16.0)P12A70-62L0%0.0
11-23San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA79-54L0%0.0
11-26Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBN46-54L0%0.0
11-27Stetson (303.0)ASunN93-73W100%0.0
12-1Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH74-48W100%0.0
12-4USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH82-71W100%0.0
12-7College of Charleston (135.0)CAAA77-73L0%0.0
12-13North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACH71-60W100%0.0
12-16UNC Wilmington (45.0)CAAH78-73W100%0.0
12-20James Madison (103.0)CAAA67-61L0%0.0
12-22South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH98-71W100%0.0
1-2UCF (219.0)AmerH68-71L0%0.0
1-5Tulsa (58.0)AmerA55-43L0%0.0
1-9Temple (60.0)AmerA78-60L0%0.0
1-13SMU (13.0)AmerH55-79L0%0.0
1-16UCF (219.0)AmerA89-69L0%0.0
1-19Tulsa (58.0)AmerH69-84L0%0.0
1-24Memphis (139.0)AmerA83-84W100%0.0
1-27Temple (60.0)AmerH64-61W100%0.0
1-30Houston (87.0)AmerH93-97L0%0.0
2-7Connecticut (32.0)AmerA85-67L0%0.0
2-10Tulane (227.0)AmerH92-100L0%0.0
2-13Cincinnati (48.0)AmerA75-60L0%0.0
2-16South Florida (230.0)AmerH52-69L0%0.0
2-21SMU (13.0)AmerA74-63L0%0.0
2-24Tulane (227.0)AmerA73-79W100%0.0
2-27Cincinnati (48.0)AmerH56-65L0%0.0
3-2South Florida (230.0)AmerA39-52W100%0.0
3-6Memphis (139.0)AmerH53-83L0%0.0
3-10South Florida (230.0)AmerN66-71L0%0.0