Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  East Carolina   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

East Carolina

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:230.2
Current RPI:230
Expected SOS:116
Current Record:7-21
Expected Record:7-21
Current Conf Record:4-13
Expected Conf Record:4-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:199
Expected OOC SOS:48


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2125.00%230.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Carolina.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Wake Forest (40.6)ACCN58-89L0%0.0
11-17Campbell (183.2)ASunA68-74L0%0.0
11-20Tennessee (11.0)SECN66-105L0%0.0
11-21Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCN68-74L0%0.0
11-23South Dakota St. (233.5)SumN82-73W100%0.0
11-28NC Greensboro (249.3)SCA82-61W100%0.0
12-2Charlotte (77.8)A10A68-80L0%0.0
12-16Clemson (34.3)ACCH63-80L0%0.0
12-22George Washington (149.3)A10H80-84L0%0.0
12-29Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAA74-82L0%0.0
1-3North Carolina Central (347.0)indH68-58W100%0.0
1-6UAB (45.3)CUSAA68-76L0%0.0
1-9Marshall (67.3)CUSAH65-83L0%0.0
1-13Memphis (56.3)CUSAA57-77L0%0.0
1-16Houston (126.1)CUSAH55-74L0%0.0
1-23Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAA53-68L0%0.0
1-24Tulane (281.1)CUSAA61-46W100%0.0
1-30Rice (311.0)CUSAH58-69L0%0.0
2-2Central Florida (189.5)CUSAH56-67L0%0.0
2-6Marshall (67.3)CUSAA49-100L0%0.0
2-10Tulane (281.1)CUSAH71-68W100%0.0
2-13Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA76-100L0%0.0
2-20Rice (311.0)CUSAA76-65W100%0.0
2-24Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAH54-59L0%0.0
2-27Tulsa (66.5)CUSAH73-85L0%0.0
3-2Central Florida (189.5)CUSAA68-66W100%0.0
3-6Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAH65-75L0%0.0
3-10Houston (126.1)CUSAN80-93L0%0.0