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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

East Carolina

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:164.0
Current RPI:164
Expected SOS:75
Current Record:11-16
Expected Record:11-16
Current Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:5-4
Expected OOC Record:5-4
Expected OOC RPI:183
Expected OOC SOS:224


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1640.74%164.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Carolina.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Campbell (206.0)BSthA76-74L0%0.0
11-22Appalachian St. (258.0)SCN47-67W100%0.0
11-29Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA63-58L0%0.0
12-3Charlotte (167.0)A10H64-76L0%0.0
12-6Massachusetts (76.0)A10H58-63L0%0.0
12-16NC Greensboro (231.0)SCA62-71W100%0.0
12-19Coastal Carolina (182.0)BSthH76-51W100%0.0
12-22Gardner Webb (293.0)BSthH69-55W100%0.0
12-29North Carolina Central (233.0)MEACH84-76W100%0.0
1-4Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAA78-76L0%0.0
1-7Central Florida (54.0)CUSAH63-81L0%0.0
1-14Tulsa (120.0)CUSAH67-70L0%0.0
1-18Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA70-56L0%0.0
1-21Houston (221.0)CUSAA82-76L0%0.0
1-25Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAH60-72L0%0.0
1-28UAB (112.0)CUSAA66-73W100%0.0
2-1Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAH62-43W100%0.0
2-4Rice (171.0)CUSAH82-68W100%0.0
2-8Memphis (16.0)CUSAH59-70L0%0.0
2-11Marshall (43.0)CUSAA78-68L0%0.0
2-18Central Florida (54.0)CUSAA64-55L0%0.0
2-22Memphis (16.0)CUSAA70-47L0%0.0
2-25UAB (112.0)CUSAH57-61L0%0.0
2-29Marshall (43.0)CUSAH69-68W100%0.0
3-3Tulane (250.0)CUSAA49-66W100%0.0
3-7Rice (171.0)CUSAN66-68W100%0.0
3-8Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAN81-78L0%0.0