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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Delaware St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:264.8
Current RPI:268
Expected SOS:321
Current Record:7-11
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:6-3
Expected Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:4.72%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-7
Current OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:300
Expected OOC SOS:148


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1162.07%149.00.01%
17-1258.62%172.10.15%
16-1257.14%198.00.04%
17-1356.67%171.20.13%
15-1255.56%213.50.02%
16-1355.17%185.30.50%
15-1353.57%212.50.34%
16-1453.33%189.91.09%
14-1351.85%233.10.52%
15-1451.72%209.71.59%
15-1550.00%207.52.62%
14-1450.00%233.42.49%
14-1548.28%231.73.90%
13-1448.15%248.52.44%
14-1646.67%225.63.39%
13-1546.43%251.17.63%
13-1644.83%248.45.95%
12-1544.44%267.45.59%
13-1743.33%241.92.27%
12-1642.86%268.212.27%
12-1741.38%264.44.20%
11-1640.74%282.78.40%
12-1840.00%257.00.96%
11-1739.29%281.010.89%
11-1837.93%278.31.56%
10-1737.04%293.78.89%
11-1936.67%275.70.18%
10-1835.71%290.44.62%
10-1934.48%289.50.24%
9-1833.33%303.34.85%
9-1932.14%299.10.96%
9-2031.03%301.00.01%
8-1929.63%312.71.15%
8-2028.57%307.00.06%
7-2025.93%322.80.08%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Delaware St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Georgia Tech (172.1)ACCA70-52L0%0.0
11-18Notre Dame (71.9)BEA93-69L0%0.0
11-26Wagner (86.8)NECA85-62L0%0.0
11-29Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCH57-43W100%0.0
12-3Maryland Eastern Shore (319.8)MEACA68-78W100%0.0
12-6Howard (300.1)MEACA72-65L0%0.0
12-10Delaware (178.3)CAAH42-58L0%0.0
12-17Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCH55-59L0%0.0
12-30Georgia (139.9)SECA58-51L0%0.0
12-31George Washington (201.3)A10A77-59L0%0.0
1-4North Carolina St. (64.3)ACCA78-44L0%0.0
1-14Maryland Eastern Shore (319.8)MEACH60-63L0%0.0
1-21Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACH59-60L0%0.0
1-23Florida A&M (323.5)MEACH65-51W100%0.0
1-28North Carolina Central (212.0)MEACA70-76W100%0.0
1-30North Carolina A&T (269.1)MEACA41-56W100%0.0
2-4Norfolk St. (123.5)MEACH67-50W100%0.0
2-6Hampton (305.5)MEACH77-69W100%0.0
2-11Coppin St. (202.7)MEACA0-027%-6.7
2-13Morgan St. (267.3)MEACA0-033%-4.7
2-15Norfolk St. (123.5)MEACA0-021%-8.8
2-18Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthA0-031%-5.4
2-20Hampton (305.5)MEACA0-044%-1.5
2-25Howard (300.1)MEACH0-078%8.4
2-27Morgan St. (267.3)MEACH0-057%1.8
3-1South Carolina St. (335.7)MEACH0-088%12.7