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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Colorado St.

Expected RPI:181.0
Current RPI:181
Expected SOS:155
Current Record:16-16
Expected Record:16-16
Current Conf Record:10-11
Expected Conf Record:10-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-2
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:194
Expected OOC SOS:227


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Colorado St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA78-84W100%0.0
11-19Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH83-75W100%0.0
11-22Oakland (116.0)HorzH95-89W100%0.0
11-24Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH108-100W100%0.0
11-27Portland (249.0)WCCN90-74W100%0.0
11-28UTEP (215.0)CUSAN90-99L0%0.0
12-3Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH77-83L0%0.0
12-6Colorado (35.0)P12H77-88L0%0.0
12-13Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA73-64L0%0.0
12-19Kansas St. (92.0)B12A61-56L0%0.0
12-21USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH89-61W100%0.0
1-2Boise St. (101.0)MWCA84-80L0%0.0
1-6UNLV (147.0)MWCH66-65W100%0.0
1-9San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA84-85W100%0.0
1-13San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH62-69L0%0.0
1-16Utah St. (151.0)MWCH92-96L0%0.0
1-20Air Force (226.0)MWCA79-83W100%0.0
1-27San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH74-66W100%0.0
1-30Wyoming (187.0)MWCA83-76L0%0.0
2-2San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA69-67L0%0.0
2-6Nevada (118.0)MWCH76-67W100%0.0
2-10Boise St. (101.0)MWCH97-93W100%0.0
2-13UNLV (147.0)MWCA87-80L0%0.0
2-17Utah St. (151.0)MWCA72-59L0%0.0
2-20Wyoming (187.0)MWCH66-84L0%0.0
2-23New Mexico (141.0)MWCH86-69W100%0.0
2-28Nevada (118.0)MWCA87-80L0%0.0
3-2Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA87-73L0%0.0
3-5Air Force (226.0)MWCH87-73W100%0.0
3-9San Jose St. (301.0)MWCN80-61W100%0.0
3-10Boise St. (101.0)MWCN81-88W100%0.0
3-11Fresno St. (66.0)MWCN64-56L0%0.0