Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Colorado St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Colorado St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:119.8
Current RPI:119
Expected SOS:95
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:107
Expected OOC SOS:156


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1550.00%119.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Colorado St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UC Davis (244.0)BWN91-73W100%0.0
11-14Winston Salem St. (292.3)indN57-40W100%0.0
11-15Oregon (138.5)P10A55-68L0%0.0
11-20Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA60-65L0%0.0
11-29San Francisco (206.8)WCCH91-75W100%0.0
12-1Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA63-70L0%0.0
12-5Denver (164.4)SBH64-59W100%0.0
12-10Colorado (119.2)B12H77-62W100%0.0
12-12Montana (97.3)BSkyH62-61W100%0.0
12-20Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH64-56W100%0.0
12-22UCLA (137.1)P10A63-75L0%0.0
12-28Fresno St. (190.4)WACA50-73L0%0.0
12-31Yale (267.0)IvyH93-71W100%0.0
1-6Wyoming (227.6)MWCA83-73W100%0.0
1-9Air Force (244.3)MWCH70-48W100%0.0
1-16Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA47-91L0%0.0
1-20Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH72-80L0%0.0
1-23New Mexico (10.5)MWCA64-82L0%0.0
1-27Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH63-57W100%0.0
1-30San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH52-64L0%0.0
2-3Utah (156.1)MWCA65-50W100%0.0
2-6Wyoming (227.6)MWCH80-64W100%0.0
2-9Air Force (244.3)MWCA51-47W100%0.0
2-17Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH70-92L0%0.0
2-20Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA39-70L0%0.0
2-23New Mexico (10.5)MWCH66-72L0%0.0
2-27Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA67-73L0%0.0
3-3San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA55-68L0%0.0
3-6Utah (156.1)MWCH76-67W100%0.0
3-11San Diego St. (24.6)MWCN71-72L0%0.0