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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Colorado St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:29.0
Current RPI:29
Expected SOS:9
Current Record:19-11
Expected Record:19-11
Current Conf Record:9-7
Expected Conf Record:9-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC RPI:26
Expected OOC SOS:26


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1163.33%29.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Colorado St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Montana (74.0)BSkyH64-58W100%0.0
11-14Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAN75-56W100%0.0
11-15Stanford (97.0)P12A64-52L0%0.0
11-19Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAH58-79L0%0.0
11-21Texas San Antonio (196.0)SlndH85-75W100%0.0
11-22Manhattan (149.0)MAACH91-86W100%0.0
11-30Colorado (62.0)P12H65-64W100%0.0
12-3Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCA83-77L0%0.0
12-7Duke (5.0)ACCA87-64L0%0.0
12-19Texas Southern (234.0)SWACH85-61W100%0.0
12-22Northern Colorado (262.0)BSkyA78-92W100%0.0
12-28Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA53-56W100%0.0
12-29Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCN79-56W100%0.0
1-11Denver (94.0)SBH79-75W100%0.0
1-14Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH95-89W100%0.0
1-17Boise St. (173.0)MWCH66-55W100%0.0
1-21Wyoming (83.0)MWCA70-51L0%0.0
1-25New Mexico (27.0)MWCA85-52L0%0.0
1-28San Diego St. (26.0)MWCH77-60W100%0.0
2-1Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA82-63L0%0.0
2-4Air Force (168.0)MWCH67-49W100%0.0
2-11Texas Christian (114.0)MWCA75-71L0%0.0
2-15Boise St. (173.0)MWCA70-69L0%0.0
2-18Wyoming (83.0)MWCH54-46W100%0.0
2-21New Mexico (27.0)MWCH71-63W100%0.0
2-25San Diego St. (26.0)MWCA74-66L0%0.0
2-29Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCH66-59W100%0.0
3-3Air Force (168.0)MWCA65-75W100%0.0
3-8Texas Christian (114.0)MWCN81-60W100%0.0
3-9San Diego St. (26.0)MWCN79-69L0%0.0