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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

College of Charleston

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:122.2
Current RPI:127
Expected SOS:160
Current Record:14-10
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:6-7
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:2-1
Probability of Auto Bid:13.77%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:27
Expected OOC SOS:16


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-1070.59%65.10.48%
23-1069.70%74.30.13%
23-1167.65%76.23.61%
22-1166.67%92.72.25%
21-1165.62%110.70.83%
22-1264.71%90.29.78%
20-1164.52%120.91.18%
21-1263.64%106.77.39%
20-1262.50%120.94.26%
21-1361.76%103.411.29%
19-1261.29%133.35.94%
20-1360.61%120.08.19%
19-1359.38%131.58.78%
20-1458.82%116.14.36%
18-1358.06%146.39.24%
19-1457.58%133.02.88%
18-1456.25%141.08.01%
19-1555.88%127.90.71%
17-1454.84%160.35.00%
18-1554.55%145.20.59%
17-1553.12%153.53.03%
18-1652.94%141.00.04%
16-1551.61%176.41.40%
17-1651.52%164.50.04%
16-1650.00%168.20.36%
16-1748.48%168.00.01%
15-1648.39%190.90.18%
15-1746.88%179.70.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for College of Charleston.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Holy Cross (226.6)PatH78-69W100%0.0
11-15Morehead St. (185.5)OVCH72-57W100%0.0
11-19Clemson (165.8)ACCA69-72W100%0.0
11-24Central Florida (77.0)CUSAN63-74L0%0.0
11-25NC Asheville (121.9)BSthN66-68W100%0.0
11-26Massachusetts (81.2)A10N85-61W100%0.0
12-1The Citadel (331.7)SCH83-64W100%0.0
12-3Chattanooga (276.1)SCH87-85W100%0.0
12-14Tennessee (140.6)SECH71-65W100%0.0
12-17Charleston Southern (139.3)BSthH70-68W100%0.0
12-20Louisville (24.8)BEA69-62L0%0.0
12-22Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthA70-77W100%0.0
12-30George Mason (90.6)CAAH76-84L0%0.0
1-5Wofford (168.5)SCA75-58L0%0.0
1-7Furman (232.7)SCA43-66W100%0.0
1-12NC Greensboro (257.1)SCH66-73L0%0.0
1-14Elon (211.2)SCH63-44W100%0.0
1-19Davidson (48.8)SCA87-69L0%0.0
1-21Georgia Southern (215.2)SCA64-58L0%0.0
1-26Furman (232.7)SCH63-69L0%0.0
1-28Wofford (168.5)SCH59-68L0%0.0
1-30Samford (249.0)SCA52-68W100%0.0
2-2Elon (211.2)SCA99-98L0%0.0
2-4Appalachian St. (254.2)SCA62-74W100%0.0
2-9Western Carolina (257.4)SCH0-086%12.0
2-11Davidson (48.8)SCH0-039%-3.1
2-15NC Greensboro (257.1)SCA0-075%7.5
2-18Kent St. (82.5)MACA0-026%-7.0
2-23Georgia Southern (215.2)SCH0-083%10.6
2-25The Citadel (331.7)SCA0-088%12.6