live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Cleveland St.

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:85.0
Current RPI:85
Expected SOS:138
Current Record:21-10
Expected Record:21-10
Current Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:33
Expected OOC SOS:54


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1067.74%85.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cleveland St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Vanderbilt (18.0)SECA58-71W100%0.0
11-18St. Bonaventure (72.0)A10H67-64W100%0.0
11-22Kent St. (106.0)MACA53-57W100%0.0
11-25Boston University (190.0)AEN62-63W100%0.0
11-26Hofstra (263.0)CAAN63-53L0%0.0
11-27Rhode Island (257.0)A10A45-67W100%0.0
12-1Wright St. (224.0)HorzA43-45W100%0.0
12-3Detroit (126.0)HorzA61-66W100%0.0
12-8Robert Morris (99.0)NECA58-62W100%0.0
12-10Akron (55.0)MACH69-66W100%0.0
12-19South Florida (52.0)BEA70-55L0%0.0
12-22Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndH63-45W100%0.0
12-28Toledo (246.0)MACA64-72W100%0.0
12-31Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzH67-73L0%0.0
1-5Illinois Chicago (297.0)HorzH73-56W100%0.0
1-7Loyola Chicago (309.0)HorzH69-48W100%0.0
1-13Butler (113.0)HorzA69-76W100%0.0
1-15Valparaiso (95.0)HorzA72-66L0%0.0
1-20Wisconsin Green Bay (148.0)HorzH78-68W100%0.0
1-22Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzH83-57W100%0.0
1-28Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzA47-67W100%0.0
2-3Loyola Chicago (309.0)HorzA47-65W100%0.0
2-5Illinois Chicago (297.0)HorzA42-70W100%0.0
2-9Valparaiso (95.0)HorzH41-59L0%0.0
2-11Butler (113.0)HorzH49-52L0%0.0
2-14Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzA86-84L0%0.0
2-18Drexel (64.0)CAAH49-69L0%0.0
2-21Wisconsin Green Bay (148.0)HorzA71-67L0%0.0
2-23Detroit (126.0)HorzH77-64W100%0.0
2-25Wright St. (224.0)HorzH77-55W100%0.0
3-3Detroit (126.0)HorzN58-63L0%0.0