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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Cleveland St.

Expected RPI:278.0
Current RPI:278
Expected SOS:143
Current Record:7-23
Expected Record:7-23
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-13
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-4
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:190
Expected OOC SOS:33


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cleveland St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Akron (34.0)MACN65-53L0%0.0
11-21Rhode Island (119.0)A10A73-45L0%0.0
11-24Rider (242.0)MAACN57-52W100%0.0
11-25South Dakota St. (29.0)SumN77-66L0%0.0
11-28Maryland (14.0)B10A80-63L0%0.0
12-2Toledo (182.0)MACA76-65L0%0.0
12-5Kent St. (124.0)MACH62-66L0%0.0
12-12Ohio (81.0)MACH67-76L0%0.0
12-16Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA54-60W100%0.0
12-19Belmont (98.0)OVCH67-65W100%0.0
12-23Bowling Green (200.0)MACH47-62L0%0.0
1-2Oakland (116.0)HorzA86-68L0%0.0
1-4Detroit (204.0)HorzA88-80L0%0.0
1-7Green Bay (112.0)HorzH67-87L0%0.0
1-9Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH62-65L0%0.0
1-14Wright St. (146.0)HorzA70-53L0%0.0
1-16Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA65-70W100%0.0
1-18Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH70-53W100%0.0
1-24Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH55-70L0%0.0
1-28Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA77-52L0%0.0
1-30Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA72-70L0%0.0
2-4Detroit (204.0)HorzH63-71L0%0.0
2-6Oakland (116.0)HorzH57-67L0%0.0
2-13Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzA59-64W100%0.0
2-16Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH43-66L0%0.0
2-20Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA88-54L0%0.0
2-22Green Bay (112.0)HorzA78-61L0%0.0
2-25Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH63-58W100%0.0
2-27Wright St. (146.0)HorzH51-55L0%0.0
3-5Green Bay (112.0)HorzN65-53L0%0.0