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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Chicago St.

Expected RPI:348.0
Current RPI:348
Expected SOS:213
Current Record:1-28
Expected Record:1-28
Current Conf Record:0-15
Expected Conf Record:0-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-13
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:1-11
Current OOC Record:1-13
Expected OOC Record:1-13
Expected OOC RPI:336
Expected OOC SOS:194


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Chicago St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Iowa St. (23.0)B12A106-64L0%0.0
11-23Illinois (149.0)B10A82-79L0%0.0
11-27Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCN68-65L0%0.0
11-28Alabama St. (265.0)SWACN64-66L0%0.0
12-2Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA80-58L0%0.0
12-5DePaul (198.0)BEA96-72L0%0.0
12-11Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH53-71L0%0.0
12-13Northwestern (115.0)B10A77-35L0%0.0
12-16Minnesota (257.0)B10A70-52L0%0.0
12-19Western Illinois (262.0)SumH77-70W100%0.0
12-21Marquette (110.0)BEA91-74L0%0.0
12-28Oakland (116.0)HorzA101-93L0%0.0
12-31Ball St. (179.0)MACA73-48L0%0.0
1-9Seattle (287.0)WACH50-66L0%0.0
1-11Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH56-67L0%0.0
1-14UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA82-72L0%0.0
1-16New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA80-62L0%0.0
1-19Green Bay (112.0)HorzH66-99L0%0.0
1-21Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH65-90L0%0.0
1-23Utah Valley (272.0)WACH76-82L0%0.0
1-30UMKC (286.0)WACA78-64L0%0.0
2-4Seattle (287.0)WACA59-56L0%0.0
2-6Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA71-48L0%0.0
2-13New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH55-69L0%0.0
2-18Utah Valley (272.0)WACA74-72L0%0.0
2-20Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA67-52L0%0.0
2-28UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH79-89L0%0.0
3-5UMKC (286.0)WACH53-82L0%0.0
3-10Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACN79-57L0%0.0