Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Chicago St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Chicago St.

Conference:GWC
Expected RPI:344.3
Current RPI:346
Expected SOS:346
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:4-9
Expected Conf Record:4-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-14
Current OOC Record:2-13
Expected OOC Record:2-13
Expected OOC RPI:339
Expected OOC SOS:329


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2221.43%344.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Chicago St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Iowa St. (122.8)B12A50-72L0%0.0
11-24Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCH68-82L0%0.0
12-1Central Michigan (195.1)MACA40-78L0%0.0
12-10Nebraska (148.7)B12A39-74L0%0.0
12-12Hawaii (253.2)WACA58-83L0%0.0
12-19Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA49-86L0%0.0
12-22Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyN62-53W100%0.0
12-23Wagner (332.0)NECN78-63W100%0.0
12-28Samford (262.1)SCA46-63L0%0.0
12-30Southern (343.0)SWACA60-67L0%0.0
1-3Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA47-59L0%0.0
1-6Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH93-99L0%0.0
1-9Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA43-48L0%0.0
1-14Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCA56-66L0%0.0
1-16Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCA42-63L0%0.0
1-19Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA50-74L0%0.0
1-23NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCA37-66L0%0.0
1-28Utah Valley (342.0)GWCH43-41W100%0.0
2-4Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH83-85L0%0.0
2-6Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH76-69W100%0.0
2-8Detroit (167.4)HorzA72-92L0%0.0
2-11South Dakota (216.8)GWCA74-79L0%0.0
2-13North Dakota (339.3)GWCA60-74L0%0.0
2-25North Dakota (339.3)GWCH71-61W100%0.0
2-27South Dakota (216.8)GWCH73-77L0%0.0
3-3Northwestern (115.0)B10A49-72L0%0.0
3-6NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCH81-77W100%0.0
3-10Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCN77-80L0%0.0