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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Charleston Southern

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:139.3
Current RPI:143
Expected SOS:275
Current Record:11-9
Expected Record:17-11
Current Conf Record:8-5
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:17.34%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-3
Current OOC Record:3-4
Expected OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC RPI:114
Expected OOC SOS:136


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-968.97%83.34.53%
19-1065.52%98.411.52%
18-1064.29%124.87.08%
17-1062.96%146.95.91%
18-1162.07%113.611.69%
17-1160.71%138.715.36%
16-1159.26%165.69.45%
17-1258.62%129.06.24%
16-1257.14%155.310.74%
15-1255.56%184.96.78%
16-1355.17%145.91.95%
15-1353.57%173.34.49%
16-1453.33%162.00.01%
14-1351.85%203.22.55%
15-1451.72%164.40.27%
15-1550.00%190.00.01%
14-1450.00%191.90.76%
14-1548.28%181.80.04%
13-1448.15%220.90.51%
13-1546.43%207.30.06%
13-1644.83%204.00.01%
12-1544.44%241.70.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Charleston Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Kansas St. (49.5)B12A72-67L0%0.0
11-13Wichita St. (15.9)MVCA85-57L0%0.0
11-21Stetson (263.0)ASunH73-64W100%0.0
12-1Radford (335.2)BSthH83-73W100%0.0
12-3Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthH114-81W100%0.0
12-5Florida St. (25.0)ACCA76-51L0%0.0
12-14The Citadel (331.7)SCA69-88W100%0.0
12-17College of Charleston (122.2)SCA70-68L0%0.0
12-21Stetson (263.0)ASunA81-88W100%0.0
12-31Liberty (306.4)BSthA76-81W100%0.0
1-2High Point (279.0)BSthA88-78L0%0.0
1-5Campbell (155.0)BSthH91-73W100%0.0
1-7Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthH77-80L0%0.0
1-10Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthA80-77L0%0.0
1-12Presbyterian (251.9)BSthH65-58W100%0.0
1-19NC Asheville (121.9)BSthA88-93W100%0.0
1-21Winthrop (265.9)BSthH77-66W100%0.0
1-28Presbyterian (251.9)BSthA64-75W100%0.0
2-2Campbell (155.0)BSthA62-57L0%0.0
2-4Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthA71-58L0%0.0
2-9Liberty (306.4)BSthH0-090%14.0
2-11High Point (279.0)BSthH0-082%10.1
2-14Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthH0-080%9.0
2-18Wofford (168.5)SCH0-068%5.2
2-23Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthA0-067%4.9
2-25Radford (335.2)BSthA0-081%9.7