Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Central Michigan   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Central Michigan

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:195.1
Current RPI:195
Expected SOS:225
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-4
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:212
Expected OOC SOS:229


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%195.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Princeton (133.1)IvyH68-71L0%0.0
11-18Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH67-48W100%0.0
11-21Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA53-62L0%0.0
11-24Wright St. (80.6)HorzA53-69L0%0.0
11-28Purdue (12.0)B10A38-64L0%0.0
12-1Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH78-40W100%0.0
12-5Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA62-75L0%0.0
12-13South Florida (70.5)BEA59-56W100%0.0
12-19South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA72-80L0%0.0
12-22Detroit (167.4)HorzA58-76L0%0.0
12-30Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACA68-64W100%0.0
1-9Toledo (324.5)MACA59-48W100%0.0
1-13Ball St. (218.5)MACH53-38W100%0.0
1-16Western Michigan (149.7)MACA61-70L0%0.0
1-20Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH71-63W100%0.0
1-23Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH81-75W100%0.0
1-28Miami OH (145.1)MACA51-64L0%0.0
1-30Bowling Green (188.3)MACA64-52W100%0.0
2-4Buffalo (108.3)MACH88-82W100%0.0
2-6Kent St. (46.7)MACH63-68L0%0.0
2-9Akron (84.2)MACH52-56L0%0.0
2-11Ohio (99.9)MACA76-89L0%0.0
2-14Toledo (324.5)MACH63-46W100%0.0
2-17Ball St. (218.5)MACA63-69L0%0.0
2-20Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH79-73W100%0.0
2-24Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA65-67L0%0.0
2-27Western Michigan (149.7)MACH74-66W100%0.0
3-4Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA56-55W100%0.0
3-11Western Michigan (149.7)MACN60-69L0%0.0