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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Central Michigan

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:280.0
Current RPI:280
Expected SOS:265
Current Record:10-21
Expected Record:10-21
Current Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-9
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:273
Expected OOC SOS:259


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2132.26%280.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Charlotte (167.0)A10H75-77L0%0.0
11-21Pepperdine (271.0)WCCA57-67W100%0.0
11-24New Mexico St. (59.0)WACN78-49L0%0.0
11-25UC Irvine (254.0)BWN82-72W100%0.0
11-26Dartmouth (328.0)IvyN48-65W100%0.0
12-3Temple (19.0)A10A86-74L0%0.0
12-10Tennessee St. (107.0)OVCA65-57L0%0.0
12-13Minnesota (89.0)B10A76-56L0%0.0
12-16Illinois Chicago (297.0)HorzH70-67W100%0.0
12-18Iowa St. (33.0)B12A59-52L0%0.0
12-20Nebraska (154.0)B10A72-69L0%0.0
12-22Wright St. (224.0)HorzA60-42L0%0.0
1-7Toledo (246.0)MACH85-69W100%0.0
1-11Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACA56-60W100%0.0
1-14Northern Illinois (334.0)MACA74-66L0%0.0
1-18Ball St. (256.0)MACH52-73L0%0.0
1-21Western Michigan (205.0)MACA64-61L0%0.0
1-25Bowling Green (158.0)MACA71-58L0%0.0
1-28Akron (55.0)MACH64-74L0%0.0
1-31Kent St. (106.0)MACH60-67L0%0.0
2-4Ohio (47.0)MACA68-42L0%0.0
2-8Buffalo (78.0)MACH62-66L0%0.0
2-11Miami OH (247.0)MACA69-50L0%0.0
2-14Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACH55-52W100%0.0
2-18Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndH47-49L0%0.0
2-22Toledo (246.0)MACA72-67L0%0.0
2-26Northern Illinois (334.0)MACH74-64W100%0.0
2-29Ball St. (256.0)MACA71-52L0%0.0
3-2Western Michigan (205.0)MACH76-70W100%0.0
3-5Bowling Green (158.0)MACA53-54W100%0.0
3-7Toledo (246.0)MACN75-72L0%0.0