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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Central Michigan

Expected RPI:156.0
Current RPI:156
Expected SOS:115
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-2
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:220
Expected OOC SOS:153


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH89-83W100%0.0
11-23Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN63-60L0%0.0
11-24Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAN60-88L0%0.0
11-25Milwaukee (173.0)HorzN78-84L0%0.0
11-30McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH74-73W100%0.0
12-3Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA75-72L0%0.0
12-12Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH79-71W100%0.0
12-18BYU (76.0)WCCA98-85L0%0.0
12-22Howard (328.0)MEACH72-52W100%0.0
12-29William & Mary (67.0)CAAA88-84L0%0.0
1-6Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH80-99L0%0.0
1-9Bowling Green (200.0)MACA67-79W100%0.0
1-12Akron (34.0)MACH92-81W100%0.0
1-16Buffalo (90.0)MACA74-61L0%0.0
1-19Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA75-70L0%0.0
1-23Ohio (81.0)MACH72-49W100%0.0
1-26Miami OH (195.0)MACA51-68W100%0.0
1-30Bowling Green (200.0)MACH77-65W100%0.0
2-2Kent St. (124.0)MACH88-61W100%0.0
2-5Akron (34.0)MACA92-87L0%0.0
2-9Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA71-56L0%0.0
2-13Ball St. (179.0)MACH63-75L0%0.0
2-16Toledo (182.0)MACH77-69W100%0.0
2-20Western Michigan (202.0)MACA92-85L0%0.0
2-23Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH76-64W100%0.0
2-27Toledo (182.0)MACA74-76W100%0.0
3-1Ball St. (179.0)MACA57-65W100%0.0
3-4Western Michigan (202.0)MACH82-91L0%0.0
3-10Bowling Green (200.0)MACN59-62L0%0.0