Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Central Connecticut   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Central Connecticut

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:309.1
Current RPI:309
Expected SOS:338
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-10
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:334
Expected OOC SOS:347


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1840.00%309.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Connecticut.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Fairfield (81.0)MAACA58-67L0%0.0
11-16Savannah St. (316.0)indA45-53L0%0.0
11-28Savannah St. (316.0)indN51-44W100%0.0
11-29The Citadel (198.5)SCA53-67L0%0.0
12-3St. Francis NY (294.9)NECA63-50W100%0.0
12-5Long Island (240.0)NECA65-69L0%0.0
12-9New Hampshire (242.9)AEA55-67L0%0.0
12-12Albany (301.3)AEH70-68W100%0.0
12-22Northwestern (115.0)B10A54-74L0%0.0
12-30MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEH89-86W100%0.0
1-2Holy Cross (272.4)PatN53-70L0%0.0
1-4Colgate (290.0)PatA45-64L0%0.0
1-7Monmouth (288.9)NECA42-55L0%0.0
1-9Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA74-83L0%0.0
1-11Savannah St. (316.0)indH63-73L0%0.0
1-14Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH45-76L0%0.0
1-16Sacred Heart (262.1)NECH88-65W100%0.0
1-21Sacred Heart (262.1)NECA53-71L0%0.0
1-24Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA62-75L0%0.0
1-28Monmouth (288.9)NECH66-44W100%0.0
1-30Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH77-67W100%0.0
2-4Bryant (345.2)indA60-34W100%0.0
2-6Bryant (345.2)indH61-48W100%0.0
2-11Robert Morris (128.6)NECH60-69L0%0.0
2-13St. Francis PA (286.7)NECH57-59L0%0.0
2-18Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA58-85L0%0.0
2-20Wagner (332.0)NECA62-60W100%0.0
2-25Long Island (240.0)NECH74-65W100%0.0
2-27St. Francis NY (294.9)NECH68-56W100%0.0
3-4Robert Morris (128.6)NECA63-71L0%0.0