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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Central Connecticut

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:227.1
Current RPI:251
Expected SOS:258
Current Record:10-12
Expected Record:13-16
Current Conf Record:7-5
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:2.53%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:292
Expected OOC SOS:241


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%87.00.01%
18-1358.06%127.20.20%
17-1356.67%171.80.13%
16-1355.17%190.90.19%
17-1454.84%143.30.96%
16-1453.33%180.60.96%
15-1451.72%203.93.35%
16-1551.61%153.32.49%
15-1550.00%189.53.47%
15-1648.39%170.23.53%
14-1548.28%219.114.45%
14-1646.67%204.75.95%
14-1745.16%187.52.51%
13-1644.83%236.025.50%
13-1743.33%221.04.84%
12-1642.86%246.00.01%
13-1841.94%207.80.65%
12-1741.38%252.720.48%
12-1840.00%236.41.47%
11-1739.29%269.50.15%
12-1938.71%224.00.04%
11-1837.93%268.67.45%
11-1936.67%254.40.08%
10-1835.71%285.80.33%
10-1934.48%280.30.79%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Connecticut.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Yale (124.9)IvyN69-73L0%0.0
11-14Niagara (212.9)MAACA102-93L0%0.0
11-19Army (289.7)PatH67-51W100%0.0
11-22MD Baltimore County (335.4)AEH77-69W100%0.0
11-26Hartford (323.5)AEH92-58W100%0.0
12-1Bryant (335.4)NECA51-83W100%0.0
12-3Sacred Heart (237.3)NECH82-80W100%0.0
12-7Michigan St. (9.7)B10A89-69L0%0.0
12-10Brown (307.6)IvyA90-80L0%0.0
12-17Northwestern (66.4)B10A70-64L0%0.0
12-22La Salle (69.7)A10H59-85L0%0.0
12-30Massachusetts (81.2)A10A97-65L0%0.0
1-5St. Francis PA (304.6)NECH69-58W100%0.0
1-7Robert Morris (106.1)NECH68-53W100%0.0
1-12Mount St. Mary's (290.0)NECA66-71W100%0.0
1-14Wagner (86.8)NECA67-58L0%0.0
1-19Bryant (335.4)NECH69-51W100%0.0
1-21Sacred Heart (237.3)NECA62-61L0%0.0
1-26Monmouth (274.9)NECH56-58L0%0.0
1-28Fairleigh Dickinson (324.2)NECH69-62W100%0.0
2-2St. Francis NY (187.8)NECA73-67L0%0.0
2-4Long Island (116.2)NECA95-81L0%0.0
2-8Quinnipiac (165.8)NECA0-031%-5.5
2-11Quinnipiac (165.8)NECH0-054%1.1
2-16Robert Morris (106.1)NECA0-020%-9.1
2-18St. Francis PA (304.6)NECA0-066%4.6
2-23Mount St. Mary's (290.0)NECH0-082%10.1
2-25Wagner (86.8)NECH0-026%-7.0