- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Central Arkansas

Expected RPI:339.0
Current RPI:339
Expected SOS:330
Current Record:7-21
Expected Record:7-21
Current Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-10
Current OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:307
Expected OOC SOS:154


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Arkansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Tulsa (58.0)AmerA98-81L0%0.0
11-19Massachusetts (171.0)A10A89-62L0%0.0
11-21Rutgers (294.0)B10A87-84L0%0.0
11-23UTSA (347.0)CUSAN98-84W100%0.0
11-25Howard (328.0)MEACN73-54L0%0.0
12-1Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA79-73L0%0.0
12-3Oklahoma (6.0)B12A111-68L0%0.0
12-6Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCA100-47L0%0.0
12-16Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH54-77L0%0.0
12-22Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA77-67L0%0.0
1-2Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH61-62L0%0.0
1-5Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA94-82L0%0.0
1-9Lamar (337.0)SlndH93-76W100%0.0
1-12Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndA85-64L0%0.0
1-19Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH61-72L0%0.0
1-23Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndA83-94W100%0.0
1-25New Orleans (343.0)SlndA94-83L0%0.0
2-2Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndA91-75L0%0.0
2-6New Orleans (343.0)SlndH112-77W100%0.0
2-9Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH88-72W100%0.0
2-12Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndA71-69L0%0.0
2-15Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH107-94W100%0.0
2-20Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA105-75L0%0.0
2-22McNeese St. (341.0)SlndA82-88W100%0.0
2-27Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA75-56L0%0.0
2-29Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH73-83L0%0.0
3-3Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH64-68L0%0.0
3-5McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH77-85L0%0.0