Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Central Arkansas   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Central Arkansas

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:320.8
Current RPI:319
Expected SOS:296
Current Record:6-20
Expected Record:6-20
Current Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-11
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:266
Expected OOC SOS:275


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2023.08%320.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Arkansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Tennessee Tech (197.3)OVCH67-71L0%0.0
11-19Kansas (1.0)B12A44-94L0%0.0
11-21Western Illinois (279.7)SumH46-56L0%0.0
11-24Memphis (48.8)CUSAA49-81L0%0.0
11-28Oakland (51.2)SumA75-83L0%0.0
12-4Cal St. Fullerton (204.2)BWN69-49W100%0.0
12-5Southern (343.2)SWACN79-63W100%0.0
12-12Tennessee Martin (338.9)OVCA81-71W100%0.0
12-19Missouri Kansas City (280.7)SumA67-78L0%0.0
12-22Western Illinois (279.7)SumA44-55L0%0.0
1-9Texas A&M Corpus Chris (169.6)SlndH59-64L0%0.0
1-13Stephen F. Austin (159.3)SlndA49-64L0%0.0
1-16Texas St. (233.8)SlndA74-76L0%0.0
1-20Nicholls St. (278.3)SlndH64-50W100%0.0
1-23McNeese St. (314.4)SlndH53-68L0%0.0
1-27Southeastern Louisiana (198.4)SlndA53-60L0%0.0
1-30Northwestern St. (314.7)SlndH68-74L0%0.0
2-3Lamar (292.5)SlndA65-73L0%0.0
2-6Sam Houston St. (78.5)SlndA70-75L0%0.0
2-10Texas San Antonio (176.1)SlndH72-64W100%0.0
2-13Northwestern St. (314.7)SlndA76-82L0%0.0
2-20Texas Arlington (229.9)SlndH47-71L0%0.0
2-24Nicholls St. (278.3)SlndA51-68L0%0.0
2-27Southeastern Louisiana (198.4)SlndH60-65L0%0.0
3-3Stephen F. Austin (159.3)SlndH49-54L0%0.0
3-6McNeese St. (314.4)SlndA76-72W100%0.0