Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Centenary   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Centenary

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:314.0
Current RPI:314
Expected SOS:263
Current Record:6-21
Expected Record:6-21
Current Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-10
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:237
Expected OOC SOS:218


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2122.22%314.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Centenary.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Marquette (49.5)BEA62-85L0%0.0
11-17Grambling (339.7)SWACA71-66W100%0.0
11-27Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBH94-84W100%0.0
11-30Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndH80-83L0%0.0
12-3Southern Utah (325.5)SumH93-85W100%0.0
12-5Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH83-84L0%0.0
12-9Oklahoma (117.9)B12A62-86L0%0.0
12-12Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH96-102L0%0.0
12-19Mississippi (59.5)SECA64-108L0%0.0
12-22Mississippi St. (60.9)SECN51-88L0%0.0
12-28Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBA73-68W100%0.0
12-31North Dakota St. (268.0)SumA70-82L0%0.0
1-2South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA59-89L0%0.0
1-7IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH75-62W100%0.0
1-9Oakland (51.7)SumH50-88L0%0.0
1-14Western Illinois (280.0)SumA51-70L0%0.0
1-16IUPUI (86.1)SumA58-74L0%0.0
1-23Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH56-87L0%0.0
1-28South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH75-81L0%0.0
1-30North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH62-73L0%0.0
2-4Oakland (51.7)SumA64-75L0%0.0
2-6IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA80-78W100%0.0
2-11IUPUI (86.1)SumH77-88L0%0.0
2-13Western Illinois (280.0)SumH55-64L0%0.0
2-16Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA56-76L0%0.0
2-25Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA69-83L0%0.0
2-27Southern Utah (325.5)SumA67-70L0%0.0