Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Cal St. Northridge   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Cal St. Northridge

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:244.9
Current RPI:245
Expected SOS:190
Current Record:11-20
Expected Record:12-21
Current Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.64%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-6
Current OOC Record:5-10
Expected OOC Record:5-10
Expected OOC RPI:235
Expected OOC SOS:157


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-2042.86%212.11.64%
14-2140.00%225.43.10%
13-2138.24%230.818.84%
12-2136.36%245.320.83%
11-2134.38%251.555.59%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Northridge.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Purdue (12.8)B10A64-89L0%0.0
11-16Texas Christian (189.3)MWCN65-83L0%0.0
11-17Texas St. (233.8)SlndN85-82W100%0.0
11-23Western Kentucky (131.9)SBA67-68L0%0.0
11-24Coastal Carolina (134.3)BSthN76-69W100%0.0
11-30Cal St. Bakersfield (315.6)indH81-74W100%0.0
12-3Idaho (167.4)WACH95-93W100%0.0
12-6Washington (50.1)P10A76-88L0%0.0
12-8Denver (162.7)SBA82-89L0%0.0
12-18Drexel (145.4)CAAH63-75L0%0.0
12-22Colorado (107.7)B12A58-92L0%0.0
1-2Pacific (115.2)BWA43-52L0%0.0
1-4UC Davis (251.3)BWA73-85L0%0.0
1-7UC Irvine (266.6)BWH62-65L0%0.0
1-11Seattle (191.8)indH98-90W100%0.0
1-14UC Riverside (255.5)BWH64-50W100%0.0
1-16Cal St. Fullerton (204.2)BWA78-72W100%0.0
1-19Seattle (191.8)indA64-74L0%0.0
1-23Cal Poly (260.1)BWA72-73L0%0.0
1-28Long Beach St. (121.5)BWH68-69L0%0.0
1-30UC Santa Barbara (103.6)BWH76-69W100%0.0
2-4UC Riverside (255.5)BWA63-47W100%0.0
2-6Long Beach St. (121.5)BWA51-65L0%0.0
2-10Cal St. Bakersfield (315.6)indA57-59L0%0.0
2-13Cal St. Fullerton (204.2)BWH112-113L0%0.0
2-17Cal Poly (260.1)BWH73-68W100%0.0
2-20Drake (181.2)MVCH80-90L0%0.0
2-24UC Santa Barbara (103.6)BWA69-74L0%0.0
2-27UC Irvine (266.6)BWA74-79L0%0.0
3-4UC Davis (251.3)BWH70-66W100%0.0
3-6Pacific (115.2)BWH47-66L0%0.0