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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Cal St. Northridge

Expected RPI:280.0
Current RPI:280
Expected SOS:224
Current Record:8-20
Expected Record:8-20
Current Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-7
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:285
Expected OOC SOS:276


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Northridge.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA83-71L0%0.0
11-14Wright St. (146.0)HorzN72-67W100%0.0
11-15South Dakota (197.0)SumN76-72L0%0.0
11-23USC (51.0)P12A96-61L0%0.0
11-25Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA82-80L0%0.0
11-29UCLA (102.0)P12A77-45L0%0.0
12-5Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH55-70L0%0.0
12-7San Francisco (228.0)WCCA65-61L0%0.0
12-17Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA71-77W100%0.0
12-23San Diego (302.0)WCCA81-63L0%0.0
12-29Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA84-79L0%0.0
1-2Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH88-74W100%0.0
1-6Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH79-94L0%0.0
1-9Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA75-85W100%0.0
1-14UC Davis (281.0)BWA63-62L0%0.0
1-16UC Riverside (267.0)BWH72-75L0%0.0
1-21Cal Poly (236.0)BWH76-74W100%0.0
1-23UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA74-61L0%0.0
1-27UC Irvine (75.0)BWH63-73L0%0.0
2-3UC Riverside (267.0)BWA71-73W100%0.0
2-6Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA81-76L0%0.0
2-10Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH75-67W100%0.0
2-13UC Irvine (75.0)BWA93-84L0%0.0
2-18Hawaii (80.0)BWH63-69L0%0.0
2-20Cal Poly (236.0)BWA71-75W100%0.0
2-25UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH63-78L0%0.0
2-27Hawaii (80.0)BWA89-78L0%0.0
3-5UC Davis (281.0)BWH83-87L0%0.0